CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6680fdfb0dc73bd28cfd564a1702f9df5fea8aa013b299902526fe9e3c5e96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Favbet, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,114 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Eternal Fire | 78c | 4,808$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.5 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Favbet | 23c | 1,640$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.77 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Favbet | 31c | 1,315$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…4977backed Favbet | 30c | 1,191$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Favbet | 23c | 1,142$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.41 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Favbet | 12c | 645.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Favbet | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Favbet | 47c | 346.91$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Favbet | 31c | 233.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 220.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 212.55$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…0c2abacked Eternal Fire | 77c | 158.59$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Favbet | 42c | 122.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 118.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Favbet | 28c | 115.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Favbet | 44c | 114.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Favbet | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…895cbacked Favbet | 42c | 95.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Favbet | 42c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 68.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 63.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Favbet | 20c | 51.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 47.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 32.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Favbet | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed Favbet | 56c | 26.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group StageEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerFavbet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.