CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee8367a9324b7228fbea9ce61f643e434fccfe3eb68def19162d24ed7527955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof MASONIC, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,243 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 4,021$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.13 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MASONIC | 55c | 3,428$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.91 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MASONIC | 42c | 3,392$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.76 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 3,308$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.81 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed MASONIC | 2c | 2,902$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MASONIC | 52c | 2,231$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.95 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MASONIC | 37c | 1,468$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.64 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MASONIC | 45c | 1,089$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed MASONIC | 1c | 1,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 548 | 39.8%218 W · 330 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked MASONIC | 7c | 619.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 38c | 447.26$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 50c | 397.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed MASONIC | 53c | 395.78$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.81 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 285$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MASONIC | 63c | 255$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed MASONIC | 52c | 209.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MASONIC | 43c | 209.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked MASONIC | 14c | 177.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked MASONIC | 68c | 150.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MASONIC | 54c | 147.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MASONIC | 33c | 125.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 67c | 121.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed MASONIC | 53c | 93.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MASONIC | 21c | 86.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 83.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed MASONIC | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed MASONIC | 28c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MASONIC | 38c | 55.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MASONIC | 34c | 44.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked MASONIC | 32c | 34.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed MASONIC | 50c | 30.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed MASONIC | 50c | 27.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…8102backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 26.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 21.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…5a5bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 16.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Aex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.