TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof OG, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked OG45c18,657$8,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,411.1855157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Team Spirit54c12,940$6,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,954.214840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed OG46c9,143$4,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,205.762356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622a…2b59backed OG1c7,110$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.87210%0 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…4dd1backed Team Spirit61c6,250$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.52556%14 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Spirit51c5,668$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.4436851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked OG53c4,160$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,215.7439660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed OG41c2,962$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.841,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked OG38c2,887$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.21,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Team Spirit57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.585149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3d…7011backed Team Spirit55c2,020$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.766100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Team Spirit52c1,924$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.041850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed OG38c1,907$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.9366662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit56c1,882$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.6192056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed OG48c1,650$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.9916142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf056…b5dfbacked OG52c1,564$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.091471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Team Spirit65c1,350$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.52763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit56c1,350$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.7599844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed Team Spirit55c1,268$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.863360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed OG46c1,250$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57546535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22a1…a947backed OG1c1,120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4360349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked OG42c1,030$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.521,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44058744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked Team Spirit50c961.13$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.137562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed Team Spirit77c928.17$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4312256.6%69 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit55c918.47$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.4633645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed OG46c865.2$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.993333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed OG65c829.12$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.356848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ff4…9a30backed OG20c817.35$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.91216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Team Spirit68c751.52$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.5341655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit52c749.7$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5877458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Team Spirit68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2912851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit69c729.99$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.957455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed OG3c675.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2680443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed OG51c650$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.518550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Spirit49c604.27$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.1813346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Team Spirit52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.923551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f8…cfaabacked Team Spirit63c553.32$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.032458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Spirit72c526$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2834443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked OG4c490$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9314121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked OG35c475.1$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.551,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG28c452.37$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.292,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked OG50c406.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.61,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed Team Spirit56c405.52$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.591250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed OG7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2865625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed OG25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a0…6e5ebacked OG50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked OG44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17669835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Spirit52c390.19$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2962650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Spirit68c386.63$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1836054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit53c350.01$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5159250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Team Spirit71c345.5$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.921062.4%131 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Team Spirit34c331.36$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.77451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit51c313.38$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9461057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed OG48c310$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.833541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked OG76c304.3$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.358152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Team Spirit58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12687645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed OG30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9031245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Spirit46c300$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1636245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f03…9897backed Team Spirit65c299.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit58c298.28$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2847660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe2d…77b4backed Team Spirit58c293.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.14757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed OG46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Spirit60c249.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8867853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Spirit50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.352243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed OG46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.28137%30 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Team Spirit36c234.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1520530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked OG45c234.03$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.736460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG31c223.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.52,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Team Spirit50c218.25$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.135829.3%17 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked OG46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2db1…8275backed OG48c207.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Spirit50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10091356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Spirit57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8651140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb79…6274backed Team Spirit78c200$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4517152%89 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0735…4d2cbacked OG9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick12cpaid+246.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed OG16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3226661.7%164 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Spirit44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11234154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG39c185.46$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.241,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit57c184.04$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6412661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09c2…824cbacked OG47c182$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked OG45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95aa…f8aebacked Team Spirit58c175.59$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit57c174.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6626957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed OG43c172.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.921,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed OG46c171.96$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.14748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Spirit59c169.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4637549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked OG47c161$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…8afbbacked Team Spirit52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.23425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…b7a6backed OG15c141.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked OG45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed OG20c139$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.429145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed OG46c137$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0216835.7%60 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed Team Spirit74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1412965.1%84 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed OG41c132.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.346664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ee…a2b3backed Team Spirit58c127.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.395354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked OG47c120.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.443138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed OG50c114.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716445.7%75 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.