TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Alexandra Eala

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ealaof Sasnovich, Eala
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$525,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$555,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Sasnovich39c100,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,999.9611633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Eala59c26,395$15,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,830.9980938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Eala38c23,343$8,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,393.728,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Eala60c19,562$11,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,834.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eala33c13,824$4,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,239.392,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Eala39c11,513$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,012.0535247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Sasnovich39c11,200$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed Eala61c11,200$6,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,368520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Eala23c10,457$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,052.149645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eala40c10,435$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,286.7111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eala52c9,628$4,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,664.517,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Eala33c8,314$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,608.5419134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Sasnovich40c6,551$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,620.4111343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Eala28c6,475$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,667.632,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Sasnovich71c6,058$4,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,288.5934047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Eala51c5,629$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.552,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sasnovich47c3,737$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.431,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Eala26c3,691$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.5998240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Eala21c3,571$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.6428726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Eala21c3,460$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.164055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde92…cf3ebacked Sasnovich68c3,424$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Eala55c3,157$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.9311560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Eala60c2,995$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19814250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Sasnovich65c2,981$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.3265157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Eala35c2,863$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.5448851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Eala37c2,723$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.671,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Eala37c2,619$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.865558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Sasnovich70c2,546$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.3736554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Eala32c2,217$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.938652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Sasnovich40c2,100$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e0…d457backed Eala24c2,083$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Eala50c2,081$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.7119846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Eala55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1810547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Sasnovich45c1,790$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.564748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Eala34c1,765$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.7141645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Sasnovich38c1,758$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.3337540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Eala61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3428039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Eala6c1,583$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.572,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Eala31c1,571$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.96,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Sasnovich64c1,551$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00062061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sasnovich70c1,549$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.336,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Sasnovich35c1,500$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.8834745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cd3…045bbacked Sasnovich80c1,416$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Eala40c1,408$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.072,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Eala57c1,361$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.617936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Eala28c1,337$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.918040%32 W · 48 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Sasnovich76c1,307$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98816059.4%95 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Eala39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79316133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Sasnovich79c1,241$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.264936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Eala51c1,235$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.9131647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Sasnovich2c1,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242334.8%8 W · 15 L+6.7wins+0.29per pick6cpaid+304.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2584…9160backed Sasnovich66c1,137$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Eala55c1,081$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4118663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Eala31c1,067$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.7955646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fdd…3608backed Eala30c1,040$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac1…c3e1backed Eala34c1,018$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.916839.7%27 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Sasnovich74c1,017$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.788052.5%42 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Eala60c987$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.818548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Sasnovich64c942.2$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Eala43c927.88$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.337248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Eala21c900.91$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.089348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e18…8187backed Eala30c852.73$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.731136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Eala23c850.67$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.2917933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b1…7701backed Sasnovich75c790$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Sasnovich71c767.63$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.22366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Eala31c752.11$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.6649632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Sasnovich40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55af…b749backed Sasnovich41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Sasnovich69c721.11$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.0244448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Eala40c712$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.4229654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sasnovich40c711.02$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.914,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Eala30c687.05$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.5930847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Eala46c676.38$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3828754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Sasnovich62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40053752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Sasnovich40c643.93$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.571428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Sasnovich43c616$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Eala38c605$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.211,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Eala44c583.02$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.32,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Sasnovich61c570.43$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8626158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe527…e595backed Eala18c569.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+248.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bcf…327ebacked Eala58c561.91$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.33548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2825…c0e3backed Sasnovich37c544.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Eala61c516.03$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2525544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Eala39c507.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.1663247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Eala58c500$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.528552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Sasnovich40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Eala59c491.48$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.675748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Eala53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.737339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24de…83cbbacked Sasnovich70c469.29$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-64.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Eala54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.966046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Eala28c460.71$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.7128833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Eala31c432.76$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7624438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Sasnovich71c420.01$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Sasnovich64c419.08$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.019833.7%33 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Sasnovich71c403.96$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4417158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Sasnovich53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Eala41c368.29$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2936038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Eala22c363.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.892944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed Sasnovich39c363.81$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8940%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Eala37c360.92$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7428952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.