Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs Sasnovich (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd76c5f5cf0aafd4fd2035be47fc9373ac02a7f9764c62e5fd136327553ab9cd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sasnovichof Eala, Sasnovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Sasnovich | 56c | 749.97$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eala | 37c | 452.09$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.42 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Eala | 38c | 351.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Eala | 36c | 168$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Eala | 46c | 155.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Eala | 28c | 115.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Eala | 39c | 112.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sasnovich | 60c | 94.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Eala | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Eala | 27c | 58.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Eala | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Eala | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Sasnovich | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Sasnovich | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Sasnovich | 56c | 34.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eala | 39c | 33.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Sasnovich | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Sasnovich | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Sasnovich | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Sasnovich | 44c | 26.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed Eala | 44c | 23.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Sasnovich | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Sasnovich | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Sasnovich | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Sasnovich | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs Sasnovich (+1.5)this page
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Alexandra EalaEala won
- Sasnovich vs. Eala: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Sasnovich vs. Eala: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Sasnovich vs. Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sasnovich vs EalaSasnovich won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.