Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x618f74d19d0cb6618e3a8376e0552b43e3b9ca71ca6e5ec259a41acb268d6505
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x492a…b65cbacked Yes | 32c | 6,570$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…f618backed Yes | 0c | 6,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 68c | 3,687$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.7 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,640$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.4 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,518$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 26c | 879.04$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 27c | 698.8$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 74c | 574.68$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 68c | 486.22$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 32c | 327.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Yes | 32c | 299.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Yes | 32c | 299.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 220.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 204.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 197.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x385c…0346backed Yes | 25c | 177.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 156.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…abd1backed Yes | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 132.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed No | 73c | 118.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccee…3eedbacked Yes | 29c | 115.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 28c | 97.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 95.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 23c | 87.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7e…30a5backed Yes | 34c | 78.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 27c | 76.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 32c | 59.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 68c | 55.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 76c | 43.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 43.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…a11ebacked Yes | 32c | 43.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 68c | 40.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 75c | 35.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 33.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 31.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 69c | 27.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 22.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?this page
- Liverpool FC leading at halftime?No won
- Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.