NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212542b6d0eb29dce20144d0aa9e3a024e83c6c4340fc6e21532cbaff2ac7cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Golden Knights, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $838,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $916,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $838,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 67c | 216,928$144,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,089.91 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 191,215$107,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,080.59 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Blues | 44c | 171,968$75,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,302.29 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Blues | 44c | 160,654$70,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,966.42 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 56c | 42,500$23,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,800 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Golden Knights | 56c | 36,336$20,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,347.99 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Blues | 43c | 24,868$10,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,174.64 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 55c | 24,763$13,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,711.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Blues | 50c | 19,891$9,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,965.57 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights | 56c | 17,470$9,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,858.02 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Golden Knights | 42c | 17,181$7,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,189.73 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 10,901$6,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,066.95 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 10,018$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,610 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Golden Knights | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blues | 64c | 8,556$5,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.86 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Blues | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.74 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 6,666$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.62 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Golden Knights | 42c | 6,270$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.58 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Blues | 43c | 6,010$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.7 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Blues | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Golden Knights | 58c | 5,628$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.17 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Blues | 40c | 5,556$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.53 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Golden Knights | 35c | 5,113$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.01 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Golden Knights | 57c | 4,962$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.34 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blues | 58c | 4,887$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.43 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 59c | 4,869$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.19 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.45 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 4,178$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.31 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Golden Knights | 57c | 3,303$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.99 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Blues | 47c | 3,244$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.74 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 45c | 3,115$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.97 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Golden Knights | 57c | 3,101$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.66 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Blues | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Blues | 69c | 2,754$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.62 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,589$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.94 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 2,511$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.38 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Golden Knights | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Blues | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues | 54c | 2,282$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.7 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Golden Knights | 59c | 2,174$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.59 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…837cbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 2,166$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blues | 44c | 2,152$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.12 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,136$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.89 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 2,125$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.25 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,124$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.02 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 47c | 2,109$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.61 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Golden Knights | 57c | 2,042$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blues | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blues | 42c | 1,975$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.45 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Golden Knights | 31c | 1,968$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.11 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Blues | 65c | 1,950$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.48 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,946$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.05 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.42 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 1,821$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…8bedbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,813$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,736$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 42c | 1,657$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.15 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Blues | 61c | 1,647$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.14 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Blues | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.98 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blues | 70c | 1,532$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.38 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Blues | 67c | 1,502$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Blues | 42c | 1,501$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.69 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Blues | 71c | 1,406$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.52 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,378$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.21 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,343$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.51 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Blues | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Blues | 44c | 1,050$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,000$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Blues | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 999.96$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.98 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 35c | 975.1$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.07 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Blues | 41c | 969.95$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.27 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 937$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Golden Knights | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Golden Knights | 54c | 824.27$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Golden Knights | 35c | 820.89$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights | 56c | 800.01$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Golden Knights | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Blues | 42c | 798.8$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582e…37d8backed Blues | 79c | 784.43$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Golden Knights | 35c | 778.33$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…62e0backed Golden Knights | 58c | 775.57$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 48c | 745.82$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.98 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Golden Knights | 6c | 743.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Golden Knights | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Golden Knights | 57c | 708.02$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.57 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Golden Knights | 58c | 704.43$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Blues | 71c | 700$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Golden Knights | 8c | 699.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Bluesthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.