NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c834c7ad4ae054d0f74101bb445b929a3cd96c354ef03ce10bb79fdbcd6679f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Over | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 37,708$17,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,722.53 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,099.95 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 12,278$5,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,893.65 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 49c | 8,499$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 7,735$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.66 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 7,426$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.03 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 3,142$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.34 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Under | 48c | 1,999$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.71 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 1,302$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.3 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 47c | 1,232$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.36 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,225$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 53c | 944$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.68 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 53c | 613.21$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.21 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 55c | 393.32$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 53c | 379.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Over | 54c | 370.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 53c | 327.79$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 48c | 312.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 252$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Under | 48c | 207.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 48c | 184$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 180.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 147.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Over | 54c | 144$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 113.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 96.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…21b7backed Over | 53c | 93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 52c | 69.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 53c | 60.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 53c | 53.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Under | 48c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 37.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Under | 47c | 32.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 48c | 24.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…4bb1backed Over | 53c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 54c | 22.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 53c | 21.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…12bdbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 53c | 18.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. BluesBlues won
- Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.