NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e8037fba3b87c6b253cd4b490838eb0c1c0e3b846ea489dda78901f821f17c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Red Wings, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $419,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 56c | 174,904$98,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,542.95 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Red Wings | 44c | 43,880$19,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,204.44 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Penguins | 55c | 31,710$17,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,269.67 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Red Wings | 50c | 29,407$14,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,793.28 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings | 45c | 27,976$12,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,589.22 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 50c | 19,577$9,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,842.02 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Red Wings | 44c | 13,275$5,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.15 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Penguins | 55c | 12,545$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,645.45 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Red Wings | 43c | 12,219$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254.17 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Red Wings | 38c | 11,360$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,345.38 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Penguins | 48c | 10,597$5,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,495.65 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Red Wings | 36c | 10,436$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.4 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Red Wings | 44c | 9,078$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.28 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Red Wings | 49c | 8,223$4,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Penguins | 54c | 6,359$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.06 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Red Wings | 43c | 5,877$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Wings | 45c | 5,308$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.41 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Red Wings | 43c | 5,232$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.95 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Red Wings | 44c | 5,040$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.6 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Red Wings | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 41c | 4,793$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.15 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 54c | 4,706$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.97 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 33c | 4,687$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.69 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 45c | 4,031$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.05 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Red Wings | 45c | 4,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Penguins | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Red Wings | 44c | 3,830$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.13 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Penguins | 56c | 3,750$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 54c | 3,337$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.9 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 63c | 3,248$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.13 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Red Wings | 43c | 3,136$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.66 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 44c | 3,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 40c | 2,286$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.21 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 55c | 2,240$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.96 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.86 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Red Wings | 43c | 2,122$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.31 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Red Wings | 4c | 2,100$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Red Wings | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.98 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Red Wings | 4c | 2,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Penguins | 52c | 1,830$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.91 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,810$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.46 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Penguins | 54c | 1,773$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.4 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 52c | 1,741$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.57 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,622$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Red Wings | 50c | 1,587$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.21 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,575$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.44 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Red Wings | 46c | 1,523$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.68 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,477$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,470$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.5 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Red Wings | 33c | 1,469$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.55 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,430$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.74 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Red Wings | 43c | 1,411$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.62 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Red Wings | 45c | 1,399$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Penguins | 55c | 1,335$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.92 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Red Wings | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Penguins | 75c | 1,226$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.72 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Red Wings | 8c | 1,222$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Penguins | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,200$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 46c | 1,185$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.39 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Red Wings | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76c…0ce4backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 24c | 1,079$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.57 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 74c | 1,065$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.11 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,024$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.24 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Red Wings | 38c | 1,001$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Red Wings | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0089…5376backed Red Wings | 46c | 996.38$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Red Wings | 20c | 993.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…7036backed Penguins | 56c | 981.05$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…aa44backed Red Wings | 46c | 979.84$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 66c | 969.97$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.35 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…8670backed Penguins | 56c | 963.03$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Red Wings | 43c | 954.35$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.35 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…b6f5backed Penguins | 56c | 935.05$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf849…a68ebacked Penguins | 56c | 901.34$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Red Wings | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…e7ebbacked Red Wings | 46c | 865.29$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Red Wings | 47c | 802.46$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.17 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5366…756abacked Red Wings | 46c | 802$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Red Wings | 42c | 784.22$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.68 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Red Wings | 70c | 782.77$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.23 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…77c2backed Penguins | 56c | 765$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494b…2adcbacked Penguins | 56c | 737.36$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Penguins | 79c | 734.45$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Red Wings | 44c | 716$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.04 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…df58backed Red Wings | 46c | 705.3$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Red Wings | 45c | 668.89$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Red Wings | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Red Wings | 46c | 666$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Penguins | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Penguinsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.