NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3993568defe10ab8ec9a80138c6cbbc3300f0784fa22276b5fcc35b0b916db23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 51c | 82,877$42,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,458.3 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 20,020$9,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,809.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 15,790$7,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,737.1 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,052$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.23 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 50c | 4,701$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.68 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 3,972$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.28 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Under | 50c | 3,415$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.5 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 2,591$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.3 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 1,933$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.5 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,477$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.13 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Under | 2c | 1,300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 1,234$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 1,132$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.34 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 934.96$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.43 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 864.48$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.6 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 3c | 768.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 729$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.06 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 49c | 444$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 360$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 349.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 331$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.19 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 53c | 283.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 49c | 255$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd440…a32ebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under | 50c | 175.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 167.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Under | 49c | 113.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 105.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 50c | 90.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 66c | 72.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 57.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…4bb1backed Under | 50c | 27.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Red Wings vs. PenguinsPenguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.