MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078c6aac96ffa529781967e5608484735cef2a1668804653f70a8a9f77e80142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Orioles, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,942,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,999,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,942,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 34c | 1,401,952$472,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472,212.72 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 66c | 607,394$402,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,425.33 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Orioles | 33c | 163,001$53,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,890.39 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 66c | 100,000$66,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yankees | 70c | 90,699$63,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,178.45 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 70c | 83,953$58,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,067.81 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yankees | 66c | 77,531$51,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,360.53 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 66c | 70,150$46,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,851 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yankees | 67c | 67,184$45,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,170.73 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Yankees | 67c | 67,142$44,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,185.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 67c | 56,000$37,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,660 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 68c | 51,440$35,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,263.96 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 67c | 50,000$33,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500.02 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yankees | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Yankees | 70c | 37,039$25,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,265.69 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 66c | 31,000$20,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,390 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 66c | 30,205$19,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,269.54 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 66c | 28,795$19,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,790.27 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yankees | 66c | 25,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 66c | 25,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Yankees | 68c | 18,791$12,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,016.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Yankees | 67c | 17,910$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,910.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 67c | 17,101$11,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,654.47 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yankees | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 67c | 14,747$9,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.37 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Yankees | 66c | 12,552$8,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.75 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 66c | 11,500$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.99 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 67c | 4,962$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 0c | 4,107$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 7c | 3,819$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.22 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Yankees | 67c | 3,433$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.84 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Orioles | 12c | 3,016$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yankees | 67c | 2,600$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Orioles | 11c | 2,408$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Orioles | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Orioles | 33c | 1,854$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…844dbacked Orioles | 34c | 1,763$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Orioles | 15c | 1,586$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Orioles | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 31c | 1,100$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 31c | 1,072$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.32 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yankees | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Orioles | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Yankees | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yankees | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…7ef8backed Yankees | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 32c | 999.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yankees | 71c | 897.54$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yankees | 68c | 877.25$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Orioles | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed Yankees | 67c | 745.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yankees | 67c | 744$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.52 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Orioles | 31c | 737$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.47 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Yankees | 67c | 717.34$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.72 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Orioles | 18c | 713.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.85 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yankees | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Orioles | 2c | 677$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yankees | 67c | 671.64$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Yankees | 67c | 655.22$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.22 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…b8e3backed Orioles | 34c | 630$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Orioles | 31c | 616$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Yankees | 68c | 604.82$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.57 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Orioles | 31c | 580$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yankees | 67c | 560.22$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.06 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Orioles | 2c | 550$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 66c | 544.1$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.41 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 31c | 536.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…9498backed Yankees | 68c | 522.06$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed Yankees | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yankees | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Orioles | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yankees | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yankees | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 10c | 482.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…f554backed Yankees | 67c | 441.22$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Orioles | 31c | 394$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yankees | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…e093backed Yankees | 67c | 304.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…823bbacked Yankees | 67c | 302.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yankees | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…8128backed Yankees | 67c | 298.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Yankees | 66c | 275$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Yankees | 67c | 240$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…fe56backed Yankees | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 31c | 217.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Orioles | 34c | 209.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Orioles | 15c | 208.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Yankees | 69c | 201.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…b1e0backed Yankees | 67c | 193.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Orioles | 31c | 174.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 11c | 173.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 10c | 169.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…e657backed Yankees | 79c | 166.51$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orioles vs. Yankeesthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.