TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Jets, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Ducks38c11,283$4,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,023.635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Jets62c9,688$6,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,006.471752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Ducks38c4,039$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.19459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Ducks33c3,397$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.4831334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Ducks39c2,796$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.363842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks38c2,060$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.751,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Jets78c1,657$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.121921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-56.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcac2…d644backed Jets66c1,505$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Ducks34c1,202$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.3931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4397backed Ducks41c1,193$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Ducks34c1,174$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.843033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7283…08afbacked Ducks40c1,081$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Jets61c1,022$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Jets59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+68.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks41c999.67$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.81,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks21c933.66$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.1891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9d…295abacked Jets61c883.66$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85cc…2b10backed Jets62c876.62$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb522…4d42backed Ducks34c860$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+110.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x179f…c974backed Jets61c856.31$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets62c800.98$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Jets65c750.89$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0822246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Jets62c738.71$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Ducks38c681.95$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.5411445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Jets61c669.65$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.262733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c3…a73abacked Jets62c651.82$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Ducks38c597.42$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5923144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Ducks34c568.61$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.3514949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Ducks46c544.63$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.586437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets66c517.12$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.31,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…947bbacked Jets61c513.15$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.481850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Jets62c509.27$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.759861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Ducks37c499.96$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.984452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks35c499.96$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9754349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets65c499.8$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.871,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked Jets54c480.14$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.94553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Jets60c470.01$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.017357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Ducks36c456.95$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Jets62c451.61$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803568.6%24 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks35c444.83$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.0572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0676…477fbacked Jets66c440$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Jets50c423.2$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.213655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a5b…afc0backed Jets66c420$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Jets62c403.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks44c400.37$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.31,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dbe…3232backed Ducks36c388$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc615…2883backed Jets64c388$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9865…f4a7backed Jets65c386.08$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Jets59c373.29$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22223761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets49c350$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.51,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Jets61c330.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3340…2700backed Jets64c322.91$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6650%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa460…f9b9backed Ducks41c322.91$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.525100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+112.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Jets65c308.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Jets63c304$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.619347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Jets59c301.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6329847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets64c300.03$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3766951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Jets61c299.98$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Jets66c273.79$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.76149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Jets61c270.49$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Jets62c260$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.25750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72d6…1c32backed Jets61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Ducks38c250$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1555250%26 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb5…b365backed Jets62c249$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.341861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Ducks39c247.36$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.368720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Jets61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Ducks21c237.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.98633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks47c235.47$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4519438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b22…e36dbacked Jets64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502450%12 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Ducks38c230.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.814839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Jets61c226$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8613361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets63c209.72$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Jets59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11837254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Jets62c199.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.998145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Jets65c199.97$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9813953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets73c182.4$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffe6…5cf6backed Jets59c180.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.431540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Jets61c178.69$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1094158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…c364backed Jets60c175.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Jets60c166.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8413562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets77c164.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Jets65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Jets65c152.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Jets66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe135…7f76backed Jets67c147.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Jets62c143.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8930%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb04c…b6ccbacked Jets73c140$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.420%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66f0…b31fbacked Jets63c138.04$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.782157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Jets66c134.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.819957.6%57 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Ducks20c124.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.565149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Jets65c106.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d3…ffe9backed Ducks36c102.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.781361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9e7…d486backed Ducks39c102.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jets63c99.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6350857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Jets62c99.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4930155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jets61c94.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.946642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd900…5d15backed Jets66c92.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacdc…9461backed Jets65c92.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b25…26e8backed Ducks35c91.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.