NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe975fce561bbbe5d6508a04f129980202c18711bc589b1c86c42b2fad0fb991b

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Grizzlies, Heat
Resolved: Feb 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,379,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,430,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,379,777 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Grizzlies	19c	796,708$149,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149,966.59	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies	18c	653,445$118,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118,516.76	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies	18c	75,000$13,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,500	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Grizzlies	18c	42,293$7,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,634.47	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Grizzlies	18c	36,856$6,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,798.77	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Grizzlies	18c	29,076$5,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,233.59	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies	18c	20,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,599.98	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Grizzlies	17c	19,360$3,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,291.19	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies	14c	18,641$2,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,678.17	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Grizzlies	17c	17,042$2,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,897.22	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Grizzlies	0c	15,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Grizzlies	20c	11,465$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Grizzlies	18c	11,110$1,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,992.38	90	26.7%24 W · 66 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Grizzlies	8c	10,953$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847.95	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies	19c	10,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Heat	80c	10,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Grizzlies	17c	10,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies	18c	10,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Grizzlies	20c	9,990$1,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,998.08	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Grizzlies	19c	8,000$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies	18c	6,500$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Heat	79c	6,500$5,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,364.91	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies	1c	6,455$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies	8c	6,344$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.79	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies	18c	6,100$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies	17c	6,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Grizzlies	15c	6,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Grizzlies	21c	5,690$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,194.9	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies	1c	5,514$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.54	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Heat	78c	5,423$4,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.99	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Grizzlies	19c	5,263$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Grizzlies	20c	4,725$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies	18c	4,544$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies	19c	4,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc7…cdf9backed Grizzlies	17c	4,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Grizzlies	20c	3,990$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.76	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Grizzlies	20c	3,500$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685	197	35%69 W · 128 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Grizzlies	17c	3,471$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies	0c	3,449$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies	17c	3,384$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.1	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies	12c	3,383$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.36	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc59e…22b6backed Grizzlies	15c	3,340$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Grizzlies	17c	3,176$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies	5c	3,125$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.52	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Grizzlies	16c	3,068$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.88	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Grizzlies	19c	3,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Grizzlies	18c	3,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…d395backed Grizzlies	18c	2,800$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Grizzlies	19c	2,652$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.89	337	35.3%119 W · 218 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Grizzlies	4c	2,596$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.35	334	28.1%94 W · 240 L	-20.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Grizzlies	20c	2,580$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-7.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies	19c	2,500$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies	20c	2,499$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.3	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Grizzlies	11c	2,400$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Grizzlies	19c	2,316$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.06	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+6.9wins	+0.20per pick	52cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Grizzlies	18c	2,222$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd7d7…c9a4backed Grizzlies	20c	2,040$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdba7…c3c4backed Heat	80c	2,036$1,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.2	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Grizzlies	2c	2,005$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.96	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75af…5d46backed Heat	79c	2,004$1,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.84	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Grizzlies	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Heat	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Grizzlies	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	135	43.7%59 W · 76 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4412…a488backed Grizzlies	21c	1,999$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.77	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies	7c	1,809$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.85	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Grizzlies	15c	1,779$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271	458	38%174 W · 284 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Heat	79c	1,593$1,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.46	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Grizzlies	19c	1,579$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Grizzlies	18c	1,573$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.13	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Grizzlies	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Grizzlies	16c	1,500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	194	41.2%80 W · 114 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Grizzlies	22c	1,434$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.48	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Grizzlies	2c	1,425$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.57	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6db…fcfcbacked Heat	78c	1,400$1,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.98	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…2f1ebacked Grizzlies	22c	1,395$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5426…bc07backed Grizzlies	22c	1,391$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.02	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Grizzlies	22c	1,347$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Grizzlies	19c	1,316$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	328	27.4%90 W · 238 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Grizzlies	1c	1,300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	169	0%0 W · 169 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies	16c	1,285$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.73	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Grizzlies	22c	1,280$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.67	228	57.5%131 W · 97 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Grizzlies	17c	1,279$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0f1…6aa4backed Grizzlies	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+46%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Grizzlies	18c	1,200$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	114	50%57 W · 57 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Grizzlies	2c	1,196$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.88	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Grizzlies	20c	1,175$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	699	29.8%208 W · 491 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Grizzlies	22c	1,164$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…31ecbacked Grizzlies	16c	1,134$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Grizzlies	6c	1,130$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	358	44.1%158 W · 200 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Grizzlies	18c	1,111$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.53	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-25%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Grizzlies	12c	1,110$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.99	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Grizzlies	22c	1,027$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.95	180	43.9%79 W · 101 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Grizzlies	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x797d…b890backed Heat	79c	1,000$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Grizzlies	13c	1,000$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.5	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Grizzlies	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	524	32.6%171 W · 353 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5d87backed Grizzlies	10c	979.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.23	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e7…10c0backed Grizzlies	18c	976.99$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.86	119	29.4%35 W · 84 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Grizzlies	9c	960.31$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.37	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Grizzlies vs. Heatthis page
GG Jackson II: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Grizzlies vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Santi Aldama: Points O/U 13.5No won
Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-11.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won
Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 17.5No won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Grizzlies vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event