NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6e6d5aa70cd095f03c003c72211f2669595acc7d12aee338ae4e87a8f16915b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 105,328$47,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,397.74 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Heat | 55c | 66,323$36,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,858.38 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 53c | 24,904$13,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,709.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Grizzlies | 46c | 19,231$8,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,846.14 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Heat | 55c | 17,818$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,018.18 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 52c | 15,732$8,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,488.09 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Heat | 55c | 15,048$8,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,771.75 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 8,982$4,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Heat | 54c | 8,333$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies | 50c | 6,666$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Heat | 55c | 4,892$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.4 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 54c | 3,885$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Grizzlies | 51c | 3,721$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.51 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 3,360$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.6 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Heat | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,938$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,619$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.12 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Heat | 51c | 1,517$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.57 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 53c | 1,347$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,104$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,003$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.08 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 53c | 960.93$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 55c | 935.21$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Grizzlies | 45c | 793.33$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 51c | 733.77$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Heat | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Grizzlies | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 47c | 470.07$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Heat | 55c | 412.08$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Heat | 54c | 401.16$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Heat | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Heat | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Grizzlies | 46c | 360.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Heat | 55c | 301$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Heat | 54c | 290$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 286.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Grizzlies | 46c | 279$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Heat | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Heat | 52c | 248.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Grizzlies | 51c | 225.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Heat | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Grizzlies | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Heat | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Grizzlies | 46c | 197.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Grizzlies | 46c | 185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Heat | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Heat | 54c | 166.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…d78bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 164.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Grizzlies | 46c | 161.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 52c | 128.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 43c | 126$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Heat | 52c | 119.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Grizzlies | 39c | 116.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Heat | 56c | 116$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Heat | 55c | 112.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…1da8backed Heat | 55c | 112.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 111.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Heat | 49c | 110.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Grizzlies | 45c | 109.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Heat | 55c | 106$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d3…7c24backed Grizzlies | 51c | 103$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553d…f6c4backed Heat | 50c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Heat | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Heat | 55c | 101.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 101.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Heat | 55c | 97.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Grizzlies | 46c | 89.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Grizzlies | 50c | 88.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 78.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Heat | 49c | 77.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Heat | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Heat | 50c | 59.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Heat | 54c | 54.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Heat | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Heat | 50c | 54.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Heat | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat | 61c | 53.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Grizzlies | 46c | 53.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 48c | 51.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 50.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies | 46c | 50.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Heat | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Heat | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Heat | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Heat | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dd…cea3backed Grizzlies | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)this page
- GG Jackson II: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. HeatHeat won
- Grizzlies vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-11.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.