NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c79a37af2fc03f57226323473d6c14f242744cf3d47ddc7ca04616b162c18c2

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Grizzlies, Timberwolves
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,707,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,468,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,707,373 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies	14c	708,430$99,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,180.21	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Grizzlies	15c	159,347$23,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,308.63	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Grizzlies	15c	135,118$19,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,811.55	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies	15c	103,256$15,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,423.3	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Grizzlies	13c	88,363$11,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,805.59	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Grizzlies	15c	60,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies	1c	38,121$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.04	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies	15c	34,151$4,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,991.32	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies	15c	30,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves	79c	25,620$20,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,351.4	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies	11c	25,504$2,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,703.65	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies	13c	25,258$3,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,283.53	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves	74c	24,775$18,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,536.58	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies	12c	23,840$2,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,772.92	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Grizzlies	12c	22,000$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Grizzlies	29c	18,389$5,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,377.1	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Timberwolves	67c	17,130$11,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,683.48	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies	23c	17,000$3,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,877.27	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Grizzlies	14c	16,090$2,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,315.49	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies	15c	16,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Grizzlies	15c	15,900$2,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,384.98	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Grizzlies	14c	15,482$2,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,167.48	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves	72c	13,875$10,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,840.97	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Grizzlies	0c	12,500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies	13c	12,150$1,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Grizzlies	14c	12,000$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Grizzlies	13c	11,743$1,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,526.59	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies	9c	10,736$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.06	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Grizzlies	16c	10,223$1,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.63	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Grizzlies	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Grizzlies	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.97	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Grizzlies	28c	9,754$2,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,683	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Grizzlies	20c	9,725$1,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,899.26	144	37.5%54 W · 90 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Grizzlies	1c	9,427$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Grizzlies	28c	9,060$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves	74c	8,933$6,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,338.95	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	79c	8,639$6,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,819.97	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4c…444cbacked Grizzlies	23c	8,575$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies	0c	8,400$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies	9c	8,340$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.25	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Grizzlies	13c	8,317$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.19	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Grizzlies	6c	8,054$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.22	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Grizzlies	13c	7,500$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.99	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Grizzlies	14c	7,276$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.66	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies	1c	6,871$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.71	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Timberwolves	73c	6,754$4,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,793.57	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies	15c	6,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies	5c	5,759$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.33	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Grizzlies	13c	5,255$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.21	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x504e…0187backed Grizzlies	13c	5,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies	12c	5,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Grizzlies	12c	5,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Grizzlies	12c	4,650$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.49	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Grizzlies	7c	4,596$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.36	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739a…a4d2backed Timberwolves	76c	4,567$3,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.08	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-5.7wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Grizzlies	13c	4,500$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.99	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies	24c	4,396$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.12	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Grizzlies	32c	4,324$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380.38	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-9.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies	10c	4,188$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.96	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Grizzlies	17c	4,118$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.06	170	28.8%49 W · 121 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Grizzlies	18c	4,058$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.48	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Grizzlies	13c	4,000$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.63	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Grizzlies	15c	3,985$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.68	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves	78c	3,862$3,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848.21	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Grizzlies	14c	3,596$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies	12c	3,173$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.14	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Grizzlies	34c	3,011$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,023.74	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Grizzlies	30c	3,000$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$893.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a9…0e00backed Grizzlies	14c	2,900$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Timberwolves	71c	2,806$1,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.77	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies	1c	2,603$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.78	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies	34c	2,414$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.48	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6503…0c3dbacked Timberwolves	76c	2,278$1,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.64	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5265…8184backed Grizzlies	5c	2,248$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.4	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies	14c	2,045$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.86	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Grizzlies	25c	2,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Grizzlies	19c	2,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Grizzlies	14c	1,790$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.54	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Grizzlies	11c	1,750$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Grizzlies	29c	1,735$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.67	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Timberwolves	73c	1,620$1,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.93	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f4…a4afbacked Grizzlies	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6aac…ecd6backed Grizzlies	19c	1,504$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.58	158	38.6%61 W · 97 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Grizzlies	1c	1,450$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	169	0%0 W · 169 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…eee2backed Grizzlies	5c	1,434$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Grizzlies	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	70	18.6%13 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Grizzlies	15c	1,387$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.98	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Grizzlies	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	181	47%85 W · 96 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Timberwolves	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.23	478	56.5%270 W · 208 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Grizzlies	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.95	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Grizzlies	10c	1,319$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	463	46.4%215 W · 248 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99cd…8b45backed Grizzlies	14c	1,300$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacba…40a1backed Grizzlies	11c	1,226$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Grizzlies	2c	1,178$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Grizzlies	28c	1,170$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.03	262	33.6%88 W · 174 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6848…b7ecbacked Grizzlies	13c	1,169$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies	23c	1,117$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.8	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Timberwolves	75c	1,085$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.23	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesthis page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Santi Aldama: Points O/U 12.5No won
Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)Grizzlies won
Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Ty Jerome: Points O/U 17.5No won
Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event