TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,847 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3846…9742backed Yes38c1,960$750 inWon+$1,210.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No62c1,613$1,000 inLost-$1,000.056669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No67c884.15$592 inLost-$592.3826069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No62c666.22$411 inLost-$410.894,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf034…d5a8backed Yes36c664.86$239 inWon+$425.861315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26e9…1fbcbacked Yes36c527.31$189 inWon+$338.38825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed Yes33c484.88$160 inWon+$324.881233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No64c390$250 inLost-$249.626336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No70c300$210 inLost-$21045657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79f6…8f75backed No63c299.99$189 inLost-$188.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No67c218.57$147 inLost-$146.571,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f1e…0673backed Yes30c188.9$57 inWon+$131.652927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22fb…26a7backed Yes33c170$56 inWon+$113.91513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-58.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb1d…e8abbacked Yes32c150$48 inWon+$102633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d60…5c77backed Yes30c145.8$44 inWon+$102.061735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd70…f5febacked Yes38c91.25$35 inWon+$56.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9704…9d43backed Yes34c73.77$25 inWon+$48.771118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3afb…24edbacked Yes35c68.57$24 inWon+$44.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed No63c60$38 inLost-$37.85837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No66c58.77$39 inLost-$38.7922774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No67c21.69$15 inLost-$14.6192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No68c16.78$11 inLost-$11.413666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.