NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46973f3a6cc64455d7abc7277a62dfea1631c61470dac4fe8e6e773beba907c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 53c | 29,259$15,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,891.79 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 48c | 27,629$13,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,340.41 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 24,030$11,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,484.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Over | 49c | 11,179$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,477.78 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 51c | 7,400$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.83 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 51c | 5,686$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.27 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 4,837$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 4,689$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 4,621$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.42 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 51c | 3,023$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.08 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 2,445$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.7 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 2,236$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 2,197$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.54 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,918$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…508fbacked Over | 50c | 1,402$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…dda0backed Under | 49c | 1,385$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…f898backed Over | 50c | 1,368$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…43ebbacked Under | 50c | 1,364$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…960abacked Over | 50c | 1,362$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…cc54backed Under | 49c | 1,326$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…3b5bbacked Over | 51c | 1,325$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 26c | 1,308$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.91 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 50c | 1,283$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.36 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0227…07d5backed Over | 50c | 1,268$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffee…dcc1backed Under | 50c | 1,268$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…3b75backed Under | 50c | 1,242$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Over | 47c | 1,230$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…4674backed Under | 50c | 1,204$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…ff0dbacked Over | 50c | 1,158$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.11 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8e…2ad6backed Under | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.05 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…4d41backed Over | 50c | 1,112$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…40e2backed Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…1d88backed Under | 50c | 1,068$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…4fecbacked Over | 50c | 1,064$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ca…57c3backed Under | 49c | 1,061$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…88f8backed Over | 50c | 1,056$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 44c | 1,054$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.87 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…f6b1backed Under | 49c | 1,041$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f70…d620backed Under | 50c | 1,008$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a4…c1cebacked Over | 51c | 1,003$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2959…f663backed Over | 51c | 1,002$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…e51bbacked Under | 50c | 972$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…e49abacked Over | 51c | 887$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 48c | 875$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 50c | 857.14$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 52c | 799.25$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.64 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 795.64$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 47c | 786.58$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.64 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 55c | 750$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad7…c4a1backed Under | 49c | 739$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3514…ecddbacked Over | 51c | 729$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…cac2backed Under | 49c | 649$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…1471backed Under | 50c | 623$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 50c | 502.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 500.9$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 438.9$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Over | 47c | 419.66$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.81 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…c6e0backed Over | 51c | 377$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 328.27$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 56c | 291.67$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 279.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…1d84backed Under | 49c | 228$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 46c | 221$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 210.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 210.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…74b2backed Under | 51c | 206.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5a…202ebacked Over | 50c | 206.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 50c | 187$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 51c | 180.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 44c | 179.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.