TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,780 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No71c3,655$2,586 inLost-$2,586.281,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes31c2,679$822 inWon+$1,857.011,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52f2…8357backed Yes25c360$90 inWon+$270922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc32…ea58backed Yes25c300$74 inWon+$226.092035%7 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No70c296.01$208 inLost-$208.3365762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f1e…0673backed Yes28c250.22$70 inWon+$180.222927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfded…cddabacked Yes27c240.1$65 inWon+$175.54633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No69c237.83$163 inLost-$163.2826069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No72c153.53$110 inLost-$109.7883158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…e5f7backed Yes29c144.83$42 inWon+$102.83633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77eb…66edbacked Yes25c101.15$25 inWon+$76.29933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes21c93.26$20 inWon+$73.2613138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No70c65$46 inLost-$45.522774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No74c31.54$23 inLost-$23.343666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Yes52c23.53$12 inWon+$11.231,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.