NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c479a63fc36721023890883292a88e64ef2cb0a830931fd413e95024599f787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 101,972$49,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,746.02 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 80,918$42,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,077.61 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 52,271$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 32,336$16,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,485.99 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Timberwolves | 52c | 31,574$16,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,418.28 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 26,542$12,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,802.01 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 23,426$12,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,181.27 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies | 47c | 22,314$10,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,831.5 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 20,358$10,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,560.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 49c | 18,016$8,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,198.71 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Timberwolves | 52c | 13,442$6,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,990 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Timberwolves | 52c | 10,485$5,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 50c | 10,432$5,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.1 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 7,118$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.36 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 52c | 7,048$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…be52backed Timberwolves | 52c | 6,791$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies | 47c | 5,718$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.28 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 53c | 4,873$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 4,786$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,019$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.64 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Grizzlies | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.98 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,979$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.08 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Timberwolves | 53c | 3,689$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.25 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 3,379$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 2,872$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.34 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,771$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,638$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.01 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,547$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Grizzlies | 46c | 2,151$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.76 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Grizzlies | 47c | 2,032$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.21 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,985$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.19 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,760$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.27 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,672$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,538$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.74 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,512$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.32 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,417$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.67 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,354$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.86 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.94 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves | 55c | 1,195$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.8 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,165$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.54 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.75 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,015$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.23 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,006$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.27 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 956.08$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 830.88$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Timberwolves | 13c | 782.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 757.04$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Timberwolves | 8c | 694.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 589.77$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.71 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 584.11$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 546.81$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.81 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Timberwolves | 51c | 510.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 509.11$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Timberwolves | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Timberwolves | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Timberwolves | 20c | 480.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Timberwolves | 54c | 464.81$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Timberwolves | 15c | 419.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Grizzlies | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Timberwolves | 54c | 369.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Grizzlies | 47c | 339.32$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 306.51$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 303.86$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.7 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Timberwolves | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Grizzlies | 61c | 275.89$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 275.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 269.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 49c | 247.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 246.38$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 50c | 238$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Timberwolves | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 51c | 228.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 52c | 223.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 215.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Grizzlies | 56c | 211$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 38c | 210.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 204.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 194.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Timberwolves | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Timberwolves | 51c | 179.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Grizzlies | 51c | 160.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Timberwolves | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd506…4f0ebacked Grizzlies | 59c | 158.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 150.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Grizzlies | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 141.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 75c | 136.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Timberwolves | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…c759backed Timberwolves | 52c | 131.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 123.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.