TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Ty Jerome: Points O/U 17.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,599 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3846…9742backed Yes34c1,903$648 inLost-$6481136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No68c1,516$1,032 inWon+$483.331,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No65c999.99$650 inWon+$35026069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf034…d5a8backed Yes33c663.48$217 inLost-$216.911315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf332…e7b3backed Yes37c545.87$200 inLost-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da7…17aabacked Yes30c520$156 inLost-$1561118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No66c438$290 inWon+$147.5426336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No64c341.41$218 inWon+$123.064,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e9…28f3backed Yes30c335$100 inLost-$100.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed No67c332.74$223 inWon+$110.196361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Yes33c320.57$107 inLost-$1074447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Yes44c317.52$140 inLost-$139.7117151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No70c299.99$210 inWon+$9045657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No62c223.56$139 inWon+$84.956669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Yes43c116.19$50 inLost-$503148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No69c99.47$68 inWon+$31.0383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe07f…08d6backed Yes35c86.43$30 inLost-$302634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No69c68.04$47 inWon+$21.392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9d…8498backed No66c36$24 inWon+$12.245648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No66c26$17 inWon+$8.8465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed No71c21.07$15 inWon+$6.111752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No57c20.35$12 inWon+$8.753666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.