NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68bd7c92c8787861473f2c8e1f5d45ae17cffed256fe2ada79d254437200086f

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $507,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $515,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,169 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies	52c	81,132$42,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,565.43	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies	52c	62,784$32,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,978.43	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies	50c	62,780$31,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,082.53	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves	49c	30,210$14,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,827.51	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies	55c	28,351$15,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,757.94	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Grizzlies	51c	21,282$10,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,428.25	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa401…1dafbacked Timberwolves	49c	20,679$10,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,132.5	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Timberwolves	49c	20,408$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves	47c	16,450$7,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,673.07	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves	49c	16,282$8,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,012.03	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Timberwolves	48c	15,514$7,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,446.92	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Timberwolves	47c	14,294$6,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,717.95	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves	49c	12,634$6,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,161.37	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Timberwolves	50c	11,758$5,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,900	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Timberwolves	49c	11,730$5,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,747.61	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Timberwolves	50c	11,462$5,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,678.28	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves	47c	10,507$4,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,956.85	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	43c	9,711$4,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,146.62	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies	52c	9,581$4,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,633.52	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Grizzlies	51c	8,536$4,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,182.55	175	50.9%89 W · 86 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	48c	8,396$4,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,034.58	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Timberwolves	49c	8,163$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies	52c	7,994$4,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,837.09	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Grizzlies	51c	7,770$3,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,781.28	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves	47c	7,657$3,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,606.81	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves	49c	7,261$3,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,557.84	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Grizzlies	50c	6,147$3,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,073.31	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves	47c	6,082$2,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,886.04	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves	48c	5,850$2,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,808	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Grizzlies	50c	5,778$2,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,888.85	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Timberwolves	45c	5,629$2,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,533.05	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Grizzlies	54c	5,556$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,555.55	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Grizzlies	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Grizzlies	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves	49c	3,938$1,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,927.7	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Timberwolves	50c	3,250$1,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,624.79	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	48c	3,181$1,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,527.03	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Grizzlies	54c	3,019$1,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,389.22	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Timberwolves	25c	3,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.99	185	36.8%68 W · 117 L	-11.8wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Grizzlies	51c	2,833$1,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,388.29	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Grizzlies	51c	2,353$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152.94	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Timberwolves	49c	2,213$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.45	87	65.5%57 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Grizzlies	55c	2,197$1,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$993.13	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Timberwolves	49c	2,131$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Grizzlies	52c	2,048$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$983.13	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Timberwolves	49c	2,044$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.5	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves	48c	2,024$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.17	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Grizzlies	50c	2,012$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Timberwolves	48c	1,952$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.14	232	56.9%132 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Grizzlies	52c	1,905$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.4	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Grizzlies	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.85	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-11.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Timberwolves	46c	1,646$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.16	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Grizzlies	54c	1,500$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Grizzlies	55c	1,500$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Timberwolves	45c	1,500$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies	67c	1,465$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.59	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves	48c	1,458$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.65	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Timberwolves	50c	1,320$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.4	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-7.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves	49c	1,098$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.02	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Grizzlies	75c	1,067$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.67	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed Grizzlies	66c	1,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Timberwolves	48c	999.99$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Grizzlies	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves	47c	945.99$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.62	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Grizzlies	56c	897.03$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.17	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves	49c	854.6$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.26	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves	49c	813$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.37	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Timberwolves	46c	808.7$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Grizzlies	53c	700$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329	98	42.9%42 W · 56 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Grizzlies	51c	649.54$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.27	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves	46c	646.25$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.13	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Timberwolves	49c	600$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves	45c	600$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves	48c	582.26$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.97	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Timberwolves	46c	564$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.44	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves	50c	518.3$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.15	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Timberwolves	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	96	49%47 W · 49 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies	75c	416.44$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.11	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Grizzlies	51c	411.69$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.69	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Timberwolves	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Timberwolves	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Grizzlies	51c	392.15$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.15	181	47%85 W · 96 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Grizzlies	73c	375.49$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.38	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Timberwolves	48c	315$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.2	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Timberwolves	46c	308.64$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.88	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Timberwolves	48c	299.97$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.87	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Timberwolves	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Timberwolves	46c	284.87$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.6	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bae…f1a0backed Grizzlies	53c	280.49$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.49	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5287…ca51backed Timberwolves	49c	279.59$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Timberwolves	48c	270$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.6	239	46.4%111 W · 128 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Grizzlies	52c	265.89$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.54	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)this page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Grizzlies vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Santi Aldama: Points O/U 12.5No won
Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Grizzlies won
Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Ty Jerome: Points O/U 17.5No won
Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event