MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb42a1e2a182e8edecdb8df9cd05868a8eea2c98647340b03d54b0a7b9a2e9b5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Athletics, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 50c | 319,315$159,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,957.3 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 50c | 49,984$24,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,991.8 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Athletics | 50c | 40,400$20,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,200 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Athletics | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Athletics | 50c | 35,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 50c | 34,050$17,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,024.83 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 50c | 33,879$16,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,939.69 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.98 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 50c | 25,300$12,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,650 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 45c | 17,756$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Athletics | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Athletics | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Pirates | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 50c | 13,520$6,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,759.93 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics | 50c | 12,732$6,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,366 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 50c | 10,828$5,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,405.78 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Athletics | 50c | 7,238$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 50c | 6,665$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics | 51c | 6,230$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.44 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Athletics | 50c | 4,001$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Pirates | 50c | 3,934$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Athletics | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 36c | 2,740$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Athletics | 50c | 2,028$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.99 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Pirates | 57c | 1,846$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.44 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 64c | 1,803$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,788$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.99 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 49c | 1,630$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked Athletics | 35c | 1,400$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Athletics | 15c | 1,400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Athletics | 51c | 1,171$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 18c | 1,132$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Athletics | 50c | 1,014$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.22 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pirates | 49c | 1,007$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.7 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Athletics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 48c | 936.96$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.54 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pirates | 49c | 925$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.75 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Athletics | 33c | 896.08$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Athletics | 51c | 801$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.51 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Athletics | 40c | 800$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 50c | 799.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.82 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Athletics | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 57c | 764.06$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.82 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Athletics | 51c | 735.29$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 77c | 710.46$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Athletics | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 52c | 613.46$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pirates | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…07fabacked Athletics | 51c | 590$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Athletics | 50c | 582.23$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pirates | 59c | 581.02$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 20c | 573.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Athletics | 51c | 530.16$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.38 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics | 50c | 451$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 48c | 415$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Athletics | 49c | 410$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Athletics | 34c | 404.24$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Athletics | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Athletics | 51c | 346.86$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…20e2backed Pirates | 50c | 346.74$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Athletics | 39c | 313.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Athletics | 51c | 312.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a11…aab3backed Pirates | 50c | 312.3$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 49c | 264.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 10c | 262.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Athletics | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Athletics | 36c | 229.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Athletics | 24c | 212.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Athletics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pirates | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Athletics | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 48c | 200.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…c144backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…51a8backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Piratesthis page
- Athletics vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.