MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92a3fd7444bf21da929fb6e40e69f853d6a47c15233c6727afb36ed2fdd666a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Cubs, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 52c | 20,000$10,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,525.68 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 48c | 7,948$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.17 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Reds | 53c | 6,627$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.46 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 56c | 6,020$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.87 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 73c | 4,977$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.06 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Reds | 61c | 3,743$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.43 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cubs | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cubs | 26c | 2,682$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.02 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 47c | 2,678$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.71 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 44c | 2,303$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Cubs | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cubs | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 47c | 1,999$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 47c | 1,962$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.24 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 48c | 1,807$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.32 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 30c | 1,797$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.98 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cubs | 17c | 1,370$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.67 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 47c | 1,262$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.49 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 58c | 1,164$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 53c | 916.48$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.71 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cubs | 48c | 875$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 46c | 849.64$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Cubs | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cubs | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 47c | 638$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cubs | 46c | 573.38$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.76 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 40c | 564.23$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.11 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Reds | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Reds | 54c | 507.84$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.61 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Cubs | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Cubs | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Cubs | 45c | 499.7$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.4 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Cubs | 43c | 400$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 48c | 391.23$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Cubs | 47c | 372.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 54c | 313.46$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 32c | 310.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…b00bbacked Cubs | 45c | 295.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Reds | 56c | 276.52$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Reds | 52c | 242$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 46c | 232.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cubs | 47c | 229.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 53c | 212.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Cubs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cubs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cubs | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Cubs | 51c | 177$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cubs | 33c | 160$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Reds | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Reds | 53c | 140$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Cubs | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Reds | 75c | 115.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Cubs | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Cubs | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cubs | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Cubs | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cubs | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Cubs | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x492c…16d1backed Cubs | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Cubs | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Reds | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…1e3dbacked Reds | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Reds | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…47d8backed Reds | 48c | 82.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Reds | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Reds | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Cubs | 19c | 73.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Reds | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cubs | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Cubs | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Cubs | 43c | 66.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Reds | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Cubs | 48c | 64.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Cubs | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Reds | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cubs | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Cubs | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Cubs | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Cubs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Cubs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Cubs | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Reds | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cubs | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Cubs | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cubs | 48c | 29.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Reds | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Cubs | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…1be4backed Reds | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…f0c4backed Reds | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Redsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.