MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f2e0fe990de5d6b2b0d40a7747312d8fbac7f8e8bccb2418785d41a76f8a8b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 22c | 7,355$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks | 9c | 5,399$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.03 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Guardians | 48c | 5,030$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 4,821$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.92 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 14c | 4,180$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.57 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Guardians | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 3,701$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 26c | 3,700$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Guardians | 50c | 3,310$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,084$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 47c | 2,381$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.98 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,024$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.56 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…311cbacked Guardians | 50c | 1,734$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9145backed Guardians | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Guardians | 59c | 1,554$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.51 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,543$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.76 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Guardians | 62c | 1,338$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.88 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,238$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 60c | 1,091$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.49 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…a9acbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,010$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7727…366fbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 950.33$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.67 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 55c | 803.83$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.72 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…2dfbbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 710.44$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…63e0backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 680$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Guardians | 45c | 603.89$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.14 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Diamondbacks | 12c | 571.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Guardians | 48c | 549.1$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.53 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 476.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Guardians | 48c | 376.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.89 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 48c | 299.94$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 30c | 290.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 19c | 256.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 45c | 249.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.41 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 48c | 238.46$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Guardians | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Guardians | 48c | 208.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Guardians | 46c | 206.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Guardians | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 199.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Guardians | 51c | 195.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Guardians | 48c | 178.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Diamondbacks | 7c | 177.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 48c | 177.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 47c | 176.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Diamondbacks | 15c | 171.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Guardians | 64c | 170.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 167.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…9c85backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 158$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…48e8backed Guardians | 49c | 158$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 157.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1be8…1dd6backed Guardians | 48c | 156$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…9b13backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 156$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…eda0backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…6c73backed Guardians | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Guardians | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Guardians | 48c | 111.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Guardians | 49c | 106.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Guardians | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Guardians | 52c | 100.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Guardians | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Guardians | 49c | 93.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…4099backed Guardians | 51c | 84.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…2134backed Guardians | 49c | 82.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Guardians | 49c | 79.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…d95fbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 59.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Diamondbacks | 18c | 55.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…b00bbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 50.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 47c | 41.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Guardians | 49c | 40.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…4be7backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 37.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Guardians | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 28.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Guardians | 48c | 27.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Guardians | 75c | 26.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Guardians | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Guardians | 48c | 25.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d0…fa36backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Guardians | 48c | 22.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 64c | 22.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked Guardians | 49c | 21.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a02…7062backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Guardians | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…a187backed Guardians | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.