MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0be7ff778f563625dd5b6d707ff425063f7a1b65213ea540139bd600d29b7697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mets | 59c | 18,344$10,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,822.84 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 34c | 8,090$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,361.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Guardians | 41c | 6,957$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.63 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Mets | 60c | 6,517$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910.03 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 41c | 6,355$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.5 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 39c | 5,421$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.51 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…7926backed Guardians | 76c | 5,348$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Guardians | 40c | 5,033$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.75 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 61c | 4,589$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.1 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 39c | 4,567$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Mets | 48c | 4,017$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Mets | 60c | 3,321$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Guardians | 38c | 3,109$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.12 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Guardians | 78c | 3,015$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.2 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mets | 12c | 2,821$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.33 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Mets | 68c | 2,215$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mets | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mets | 62c | 1,990$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.29 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…b293backed Mets | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 41c | 1,560$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.66 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…7958backed Mets | 63c | 1,191$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 7c | 1,110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Mets | 60c | 988.73$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.24 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Guardians | 49c | 979.65$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.86 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 41c | 900$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 61c | 887.2$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.19 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mets | 70c | 873.22$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.08 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Guardians | 37c | 871$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.73 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 62c | 788.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.81 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Guardians | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 53c | 713.79$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.19 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Mets | 60c | 708.33$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Guardians | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 62c | 683.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.49 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets | 62c | 650$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Mets | 62c | 554.69$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.91 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Guardians | 37c | 539.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mets | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Guardians | 36c | 481.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.43 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mets | 63c | 433.61$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.73 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mets | 2c | 424.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 64c | 421.48$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 64c | 415.75$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.26 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 41c | 396$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.64 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Mets | 63c | 392.06$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Mets | 7c | 379.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mets | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Mets | 63c | 328$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 41c | 317$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.03 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Mets | 17c | 299.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mets | 34c | 291.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mets | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Guardians | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…3263backed Guardians | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 64c | 212.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 40c | 194$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 40c | 180$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Mets | 63c | 175.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Mets | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Mets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Mets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Guardians | 39c | 154.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Mets | 45c | 153.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 34c | 153.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Guardians | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Guardians | 40c | 133$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Guardians | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Mets | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Mets | 57c | 120.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mets | 60c | 110.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Guardians | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Mets | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Guardians | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Mets | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Guardians | 40c | 98.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…7645backed Mets | 43c | 93.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mets | 50c | 93.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Mets | 63c | 85.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Mets | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 58c | 80.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Guardians | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Guardians | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 41c | 75.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Guardians | 33c | 71.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…fb42backed Mets | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.