MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d01dcb63ecca125a842c7ba64d5f92f2bd3654aab3c657d34d320b5f53022d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Rays, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Rays | 45c | 29,769$13,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,396 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Giants | 55c | 16,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Giants | 51c | 9,863$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,862.75 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 55c | 9,266$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.52 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Giants | 55c | 8,850$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.46 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 62c | 5,300$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.12 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 56c | 4,917$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Rays | 45c | 4,040$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Rays | 41c | 3,369$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Giants | 55c | 3,100$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants | 59c | 2,467$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.33 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 46c | 2,368$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.1 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Rays | 44c | 2,000$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.66 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Rays | 39c | 1,858$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.2 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 38c | 1,854$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Giants | 58c | 1,838$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.85 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rays | 8c | 1,650$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 56c | 1,119$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rays | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rays | 45c | 954.64$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.59 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rays | 47c | 906.38$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rays | 42c | 740.54$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.03 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Giants | 61c | 719.67$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.67 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 45c | 697$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.27 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Rays | 42c | 668.57$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 44c | 666.78$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.38 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Rays | 37c | 648.65$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 4c | 558.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Giants | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Giants | 58c | 531.47$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.33 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rays | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 60c | 410.83$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 41c | 370$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rays | 5c | 352.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Rays | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rays | 42c | 333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rays | 50c | 327.27$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…c2d9backed Giants | 60c | 294.26$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rays | 16c | 276.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 55c | 267.51$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rays | 45c | 261.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Giants | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 67c | 228$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rays | 45c | 217.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f3…bb5cbacked Rays | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 42c | 204.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Rays | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Rays | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 46c | 186.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Giants | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Rays | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rays | 44c | 138.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Giants | 61c | 130.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Rays | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Rays | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rays | 50c | 106.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…a399backed Rays | 42c | 103.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rays | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Giants | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rays | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rays | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Rays | 45c | 88.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 41c | 87.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rays | 23c | 87.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rays | 44c | 86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Rays | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Rays | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rays | 24c | 62.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 56c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…946dbacked Rays | 46c | 57.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…a24cbacked Rays | 42c | 56.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f7f4backed Rays | 46c | 55.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rays | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…f204backed Giants | 55c | 49.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…de92backed Rays | 46c | 47.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Rays | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…765ebacked Giants | 55c | 46.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02c…5ef2backed Giants | 55c | 46.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e6…a9c6backed Rays | 46c | 45.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a9…987ebacked Giants | 55c | 44.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…9edfbacked Giants | 55c | 44.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…f310backed Rays | 46c | 43.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…ffecbacked Giants | 55c | 42.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Rays | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.