TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71f3…bb5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Duško Todorovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mitch Ramirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$88
Will Steve Garcia win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$89.09
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Esteban Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Brendson Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Albazi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Barcelos vs. Simonbacked Simon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Garcia vs. Onamabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Wells vs. Gorimbobacked Gorimbo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Cuamba vs. Leebacked Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Frevola vs. Nelsonbacked Frevola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. Musasabacked Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. Stoltzfusbacked Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Noche UFC: Aguilar vs. Gurulebacked Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. Jonesbacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
UFC Fight Night: Sumudaerji vs. Borjasbacked Borjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.3
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.8
49ers vs. Giantsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+174%+$25.4
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.7
Rays vs. Giantsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.7
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
Giants vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.