MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6462b08214f93d0974e2a748ccafcd682664f54a491a110311d92ef49011b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Giants | 52c | 41,414$21,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,649.67 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 48c | 38,179$18,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,853.16 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Giants | 53c | 27,198$14,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,415.03 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 47c | 22,125$10,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,725.53 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Giants | 52c | 19,594$10,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,188.87 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Giants | 48c | 17,146$8,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,179 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 53c | 13,012$6,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,879.63 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 52c | 12,315$6,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,922.91 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 70c | 10,555$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.1 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Padres | 48c | 7,300$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.99 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Padres | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 47c | 4,723$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.4 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 52c | 4,444$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.84 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Padres | 48c | 4,322$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.22 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 49c | 4,085$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.23 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Padres | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 48c | 3,575$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Giants | 20c | 3,452$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 12c | 3,344$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 44c | 3,157$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Giants | 52c | 2,771$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.95 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Padres | 65c | 2,486$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.85 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Padres | 48c | 2,407$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.05 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 47c | 1,706$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.17 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 71c | 1,538$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Giants | 52c | 1,400$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.9 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Padres | 52c | 1,203$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.21 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Giants | 50c | 1,199$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.37 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 47c | 1,136$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.79 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 53c | 1,061$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.27 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giants | 12c | 943$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 47c | 930.55$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.19 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Padres | 50c | 904.41$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.65 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 7c | 871.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Padres | 50c | 840.11$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Padres | 49c | 809.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Padres | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 47c | 636$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.08 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Giants | 35c | 625.4$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.77 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Padres | 49c | 594.18$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.03 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Giants | 52c | 588.46$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Padres | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Giants | 51c | 505.08$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.59 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Padres | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 66c | 463.43$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Padres | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 23c | 425.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants | 52c | 420$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Padres | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Giants | 53c | 378$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Giants | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 53c | 377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Padres | 46c | 372.82$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.32 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 54c | 372.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Padres | 47c | 340$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 48c | 315$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 47c | 299.96$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Padres | 48c | 269.63$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.21 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Padres | 49c | 256.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Padres | 47c | 243$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Padres | 66c | 224.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Padres | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Giants | 30c | 209$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Padres | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Giants | 10c | 200.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…088bbacked Giants | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Giants | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…f3d4backed Giants | 53c | 187.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 48c | 185$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…7d7cbacked Padres | 51c | 155$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…3d86backed Giants | 49c | 155$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Giants | 52c | 154.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Giants | 28c | 152.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Padres | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Giants | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e624backed Giants | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…884cbacked Padres | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Giants | 48c | 146.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Giants | 53c | 145$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…5f1abacked Padres | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 20c | 141.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Padres | 56c | 140.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Padres | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Giants | 11c | 131.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Giants | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Giants | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Giants | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Giants | 53c | 116.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Padres | 48c | 116.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.