NFL · resolved market

Commanders vs. Packers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868a479c6edc7a88a30961664c00a81e5006a5259a80294133c735c6b21f4569

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Packersof Commanders, Packers
Resolved: Sep 12, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,048,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,067,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,048,366 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3a62…1106backed Packers	62c	863,781$538,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325,536.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Commanders	36c	569,189$202,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202,665.51	229	50.2%115 W · 114 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Packers	62c	562,450$348,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213,731.16	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+5.5wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Commanders	38c	201,275$76,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,484.63	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Commanders	38c	147,089$55,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,906.68	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Commanders	33c	104,243$34,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,495.44	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Commanders	37c	100,000$37,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,101.9	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Packers	64c	99,553$63,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,127.1	100	61%61 W · 39 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Commanders	18c	87,434$15,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,584.01	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Packers	64c	72,294$46,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,887.01	105	66.7%70 W · 35 L	+12.6wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Commanders	37c	70,000$25,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,900	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Commanders	38c	60,000$22,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,800	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Commanders	37c	55,000$20,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,400	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe686…13cbbacked Commanders	36c	52,400$18,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,839.97	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Commanders	38c	50,020$19,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,007.6	100	26%26 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Packers	62c	47,372$29,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,204.12	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Commanders	38c	41,342$15,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,730.75	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1295…640dbacked Commanders	38c	40,000$15,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Packers	62c	39,300$24,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,911.58	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Packers	55c	37,620$20,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,929.2	418	51.9%217 W · 201 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Commanders	6c	34,505$2,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,021.33	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa4a…4f22backed Commanders	10c	34,287$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Commanders	37c	33,388$12,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,259.77	312	40.7%127 W · 185 L	-22.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e98…1f51backed Packers	69c	32,921$22,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,094.8	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Packers	62c	30,040$18,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,415.2	245	51%125 W · 120 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Commanders	14c	28,951$4,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,180.88	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Commanders	38c	26,320$10,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,001.6	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xce37…b17bbacked Commanders	22c	23,956$5,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,382.01	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.21per pick	40cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Commanders	34c	22,843$7,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,851.52	225	48.4%109 W · 116 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Commanders	36c	21,571$7,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,765.48	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd6e…b233backed Commanders	39c	21,120$8,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,236.8	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Commanders	37c	20,174$7,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,464.45	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Commanders	43c	20,170$8,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,726.62	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Packers	63c	19,906$12,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,365.28	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Commanders	37c	19,675$7,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,279.6	106	39.6%42 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Commanders	38c	18,902$7,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,182.9	198	64.6%128 W · 70 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Packers	65c	18,892$12,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,592.46	176	47.7%84 W · 92 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Commanders	21c	17,759$3,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,712.08	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-12.1wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-39%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Commanders	37c	14,707$5,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,441.71	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Commanders	20c	14,500$2,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,906.12	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Packers	63c	13,320$8,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,928.22	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Commanders	17c	12,971$2,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,188.84	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Commanders	38c	12,500$4,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,750	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Commanders	38c	12,000$4,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,560	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Commanders	38c	11,850$4,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,503	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Packers	64c	11,165$7,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,019.24	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Commanders	19c	10,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd8…4bf1backed Packers	63c	8,775$5,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,246.6	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+3.6wins	+0.27per pick	57cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Packers	63c	8,410$5,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,111.53	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Commanders	38c	8,195$3,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,114.03	273	39.2%107 W · 166 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Packers	67c	8,187$5,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,717.35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Packers	62c	8,065$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,064.52	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Packers	62c	7,800$4,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,964	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Commanders	38c	7,000$2,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,660	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x058b…1cd1backed Packers	62c	6,452$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,451.61	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Commanders	37c	5,000$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,824.99	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa768…0ad1backed Packers	63c	4,790$3,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,772.3	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Commanders	19c	4,700$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910	89	21.3%19 W · 70 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Commanders	9c	4,341$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.54	333	28.5%95 W · 238 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Packers	62c	4,202$2,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,596.66	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Packers	62c	4,032$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,532.26	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Commanders	39c	4,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf17…d849backed Packers	63c	3,806$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,405.86	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Packers	71c	3,794$2,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.34	31	74.2%23 W · 8 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	64cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0b8…87c1backed Packers	69c	3,773$2,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152.75	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d86…2182backed Packers	64c	3,555$2,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,293.89	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Commanders	37c	3,500$1,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,295	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Commanders	11c	3,426$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.85	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Packers	63c	3,418$2,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,264.66	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Commanders	16c	3,328$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.8	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Commanders	12c	3,199$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.4	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Commanders	11c	3,157$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.31	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Packers	58c	3,063$1,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,286.42	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Commanders	37c	3,000$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Commanders	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	142	15.5%22 W · 120 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Commanders	37c	3,000$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Packers	63c	2,990$1,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,106.14	75	54.7%41 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Commanders	17c	2,965$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Commanders	26c	2,958$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.07	276	44.2%122 W · 154 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Commanders	1c	2,933$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.33	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Commanders	42c	2,899$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,221.06	149	26.2%39 W · 110 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Commanders	5c	2,866$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.26	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Commanders	38c	2,774$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Commanders	4c	2,750$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda27…06bcbacked Commanders	39c	2,662$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.36	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Commanders	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	293	56%164 W · 129 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Commanders	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	131	45.8%60 W · 71 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Commanders	34c	2,538$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.53	195	51.3%100 W · 95 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Commanders	38c	2,500$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Commanders	37c	2,487$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.02	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Packers	62c	2,419$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.35	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Commanders	34c	2,419$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.84	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Packers	80c	2,332$1,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.44	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Commanders	29c	2,325$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.75	233	51.9%121 W · 112 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Commanders	29c	2,253$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	+5.6wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Commanders	24c	2,061$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bd…1fe3backed Packers	63c	2,018$1,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Packers	59c	2,000$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820	297	51.5%153 W · 144 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Packers	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Packers	80c	1,940$1,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.39	310	56.8%176 W · 134 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Commanders vs. Packersthis page
Commanders vs. Packers: O/U 46.5Under won
Commanders vs. Packers: O/U 47.5Under won
Commanders vs. Packers: O/U 48.5Under won
Commanders vs. Packers: O/U 49.5Under won
Spread: Packers (-2.5)Packers won
Spread: Packers (-3.5)Packers won
Spread: Packers (-4.5)Packers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Commanders vs. Packers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event