MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f288e7bd029448edd5a1989658a9c0bbb5416c67de2b4829fac61f15d90ca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Giants | 22c | 26,408$5,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,938.72 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…4488backed Marlins | 38c | 9,996$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,197.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…c119backed Giants | 62c | 9,995$6,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,196.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 72c | 9,910$7,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.41 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Giants | 0c | 9,530$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 20c | 8,589$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.39 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 62c | 8,444$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.23 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Giants | 1c | 6,690$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Giants | 61c | 6,420$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 48c | 4,936$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 38c | 4,903$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.16 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Giants | 7c | 4,483$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.64 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Marlins | 38c | 3,648$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.93 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…5e0fbacked Giants | 38c | 3,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 62c | 3,016$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.63 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Marlins | 77c | 2,753$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.59 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Giants | 30c | 2,611$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.74 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 26c | 2,571$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.05 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 50c | 2,494$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.76 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Marlins | 37c | 2,300$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.95 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Giants | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Giants | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 37c | 1,863$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.82 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants | 1c | 1,850$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Marlins | 72c | 1,677$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.49 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 58c | 1,651$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Giants | 63c | 1,578$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.14 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Marlins | 75c | 1,429$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.32 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Marlins | 77c | 1,371$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.83 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 29c | 1,366$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Giants | 2c | 1,308$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Giants | 29c | 1,047$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.41 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Giants | 58c | 975.87$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.48 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Giants | 25c | 879.4$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.41 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 38c | 842.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.11 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…0f92backed Giants | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Marlins | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Giants | 56c | 773.77$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.31 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Giants | 63c | 770.14$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.19 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 54c | 744.91$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.25 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Marlins | 38c | 665.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.79 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Giants | 22c | 663$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.47 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Giants | 20c | 660$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Giants | 31c | 649.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Giants | 6c | 639.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Giants | 62c | 615.6$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.67 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…2c25backed Giants | 60c | 601.58$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 39c | 600$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Marlins | 34c | 552.94$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.94 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 58c | 502.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.35 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…1b54backed Giants | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Giants | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Giants | 64c | 420$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…7f44backed Marlins | 39c | 417.08$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Marlins | 48c | 413.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.47 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Giants | 62c | 392$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Giants | 10c | 357.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 68c | 352.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…1746backed Marlins | 37c | 350$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 68c | 325.85$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…c914backed Giants | 34c | 322.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 36c | 295$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants | 64c | 294.52$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 38c | 268.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 38c | 263.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.67 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Marlins | 67c | 262.69$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Marlins | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Marlins | 37c | 254.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.13 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Giants | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 63c | 216.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Giants | 38c | 213.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 72c | 211.27$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 37c | 203.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Giants | 21c | 201.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 37c | 199.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Giants | 62c | 198.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Marlins | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…0941backed Giants | 64c | 192.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Marlins | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Giants | 17c | 180.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 70c | 179$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Marlins | 42c | 164.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Giants | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Giants | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Marlins | 38c | 158$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…2b5abacked Marlins | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Giants | 43c | 148.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Giants | 24c | 145.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Marlins | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Marlins | 40c | 143$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Marlins | 74c | 134.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 61c | 131.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Giants | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 38c | 128.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…6155backed Giants | 68c | 123.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Giants | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…a0bcbacked Marlins | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.