MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc0801818295efa51e681c3a61edf36d40c5ab8aa58fd128b3b36fea5688330
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Giants, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $677,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 325,136$142,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,414.53 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Giants | 42c | 75,327$31,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,617.88 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Giants | 57c | 63,864$36,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,163.67 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 58,551$36,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,848.85 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 56c | 57,503$32,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,244.44 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Giants | 56c | 56,789$31,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,801.82 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 56c | 40,008$22,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,402.78 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Giants | 56c | 27,222$15,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,244.39 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 32c | 25,301$8,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,018.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,727.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 56c | 22,222$12,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,444.32 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 5c | 12,730$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.47 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Giants | 47c | 12,578$5,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,923.63 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 11,782$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,842.55 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 10,024$4,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,513.17 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Giants | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Giants | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 55c | 9,858$5,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.4 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Giants | 53c | 6,640$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Giants | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 5,430$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.94 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 4,883$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 56c | 3,867$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.04 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 35c | 3,123$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 3,047$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.06 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,003$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 2,869$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.78 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,593$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.95 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Giants | 31c | 2,512$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.92 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Giants | 21c | 2,458$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.26 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Giants | 58c | 2,250$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Giants | 54c | 2,136$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.16 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,133$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.14 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1f…20c8backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,047$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Giants | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,994$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.2 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Giants | 38c | 1,864$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,836$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.66 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.89 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Giants | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Giants | 11c | 1,450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 42c | 1,381$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.72 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…9c62backed Giants | 57c | 1,374$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 1,332$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.68 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants | 24c | 1,237$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.01 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2b48backed Giants | 57c | 1,123$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 22c | 1,119$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.25 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants | 4c | 1,067$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,047$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.94 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Giants | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Giants | 51c | 991.24$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…631bbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 991$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…3a18backed Giants | 57c | 958$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Giants | 3c | 943.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abf…e18bbacked Giants | 57c | 942$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…b767backed Giants | 57c | 924$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…45f6backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 909$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Giants | 20c | 881$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants | 9c | 829.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Giants | 34c | 814.86$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Diamondbacks | 70c | 797.66$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.56 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 56c | 777.39$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.34 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Giants | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Giants | 55c | 699.91$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.95 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 647.14$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.4 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Giants | 53c | 636.02$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 626.64$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 609.93$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.78 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 587.23$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.23 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 537.36$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.48 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 11c | 527.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…69f5backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 513.49$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Giants | 2c | 511.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Giants | 56c | 506.23$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.76 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Giants | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Giants | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Giants | 26c | 481$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 468.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Giants | 56c | 452.69$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.51 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 438.32$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.56 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 431.81$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Giants | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Giants | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants | 34c | 361.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Diamondbacks | 70c | 359.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Giants | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 349.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.89 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 336.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.05 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Diamondbacks | 25c | 312.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 286.61$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 272.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Giants | 42c | 256.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Giants | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…bea8backed Giants | 38c | 249.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Giants | 16c | 243.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.