UFC · resolved market

Noche UFC: Aguilar vs. Gurule

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x446f28cd96a5ceabebd30780efde8f454d8e0faed51ce1a020a72774b0f888ec

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Aguilarof Aguilar, Gurule
Resolved: Sep 13, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $89,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,200 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcfaa…2813backed Gurule	64c	40,714$25,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,872.13	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Aguilar	36c	15,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,599.99	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Aguilar	66c	12,780$8,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,363.16	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aguilar	36c	10,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,400	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Aguilar	36c	8,000$2,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,080	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Gurule	37c	6,821$2,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,523.77	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Aguilar	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,856.97	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Gurule	61c	2,745$1,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,671.01	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Aguilar	38c	2,700$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,674	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Aguilar	36c	2,652$966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,685.76	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Gurule	45c	2,500$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.75	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gurule	62c	2,445$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.43	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Aguilar	38c	2,118$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.76	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Gurule	65c	2,115$1,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Aguilar	37c	1,982$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,245.91	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Aguilar	37c	1,878$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,183.43	162	47.5%77 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Gurule	64c	1,772$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134.22	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Aguilar	37c	1,702$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.01	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Gurule	63c	1,688$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,063.44	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebed…97bebacked Aguilar	38c	1,536$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952.32	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Aguilar	37c	1,500$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Aguilar	40c	1,200$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	277	43%119 W · 158 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Gurule	63c	1,143$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.22	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Gurule	39c	1,066$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.67	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Aguilar	32c	1,011$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.01	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Aguilar	37c	1,001$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.44	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Aguilar	37c	1,000$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+6.2wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+47%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Aguilar	37c	997.13$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.19	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Aguilar	37c	819.44$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.44	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Gurule	63c	800$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…7e73backed Gurule	64c	781.59$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Gurule	61c	780$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.4	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Gurule	65c	746.99$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.54	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Gurule	63c	718.36$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.57	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Gurule	63c	715.19$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.42	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf366…8185backed Aguilar	39c	672.33$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.33	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Aguilar	44c	642.51$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.84	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Aguilar	64c	620.45$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.45	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Aguilar	38c	600$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Aguilar	38c	500$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Gurule	37c	406.86$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.29	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Gurule	63c	396.83$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-7.6wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Aguilar	37c	394.99$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.85	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8306…ecc9backed Gurule	56c	386.14$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.31	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Gurule	42c	341.47$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.14	263	52.1%137 W · 126 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Aguilar	38c	334.21$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.21	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Gurule	64c	312.5$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	226	53.1%120 W · 106 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d1…cd5ebacked Gurule	43c	311.41$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	67cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Aguilar	38c	300$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb33…aaadbacked Aguilar	45c	300$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.6	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Gurule	48c	300$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.74	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Aguilar	38c	250$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a6…2fa2backed Aguilar	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Aguilar	37c	180$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.4	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fc…db55backed Gurule	63c	158.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a7…8f05backed Aguilar	42c	157.74$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.26	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Gurule	63c	152$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.76	248	47.2%117 W · 131 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Aguilar	38c	144.74$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.74	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Aguilar	37c	135.14$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.14	166	55.4%92 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Aguilar	39c	128.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.21	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Aguilar	53c	114.78$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.21	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Gurule	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Aguilar	36c	101.54$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Aguilar	48c	94.69$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.24	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Aguilar	43c	93.02$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.02	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked Aguilar	37c	90$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.7	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+6.6wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Aguilar	40c	89.29$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.57	223	34.1%76 W · 147 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Aguilar	38c	84.21$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.21	246	49.6%122 W · 124 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x431b…1d9cbacked Gurule	63c	74.97$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.23	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	65cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd19e…fabbbacked Gurule	63c	67.57$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.57	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe795…e6debacked Aguilar	37c	67.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Aguilar	38c	65.79$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.79	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Gurule	62c	65.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.37	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Gurule	45c	61.85$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.83	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Aguilar	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.8	140	52.1%73 W · 67 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2283…8b71backed Aguilar	45c	56.83$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.99	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+40%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Aguilar	37c	54.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	111	38.7%43 W · 68 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Gurule	63c	54.05$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.05	185	60%111 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Gurule	56c	52.48$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.31	181	41.4%75 W · 106 L	+10.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eec…6d82backed Aguilar	58c	51.76$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.76	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Gurule	62c	49.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.99	339	48.1%163 W · 176 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Gurule	41c	47.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed Gurule	64c	46.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Gurule	45c	46.48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.78	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Gurule	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Aguilar	48c	42.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.01	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Aguilar	56c	41.63$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.32	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	-9.8wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Gurule	63c	38.1$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Gurule	63c	32.64$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.56	158	39.2%62 W · 96 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f3…bb5cbacked Aguilar	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Gurule	63c	28.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Gurule	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x749e…8626backed Gurule	64c	17.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Noche UFC: Aguilar vs. Gurulethis page
Noche UFC: Costa vs. CoriaCoria won
Noche UFC: Font vs. MartinezMartinez won
Noche UFC: Garcia vs. GordonGarcia won
Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. StoltzfusGastelum won
Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. FerreiraHernandez won
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. SilvaLopes won
Noche UFC: Luna vs. LeLuna won
Noche UFC: Medina vs. TodorovićTodorović won
Noche UFC: Puelles vs. SilvaSilva won
Noche UFC: Rendon vs. PereiraRendon won
Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. DonchenkoDonchenko won
Noche UFC: Suarez vs. LemosSuarez won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Noche UFC: Aguilar vs. Gurule

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event