UFC · resolved market
Noche UFC: Luna vs. Le
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a1407babe7b22e2c312d369255f407044a007fe1493a3220ad79d93d803d92b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lunaof Luna, Le
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfaa…2813backed Le | 41c | 416,173$171,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,053.74 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Luna | 60c | 169,931$101,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,175.94 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Luna | 58c | 75,000$43,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,300 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Luna | 58c | 74,877$43,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,448.55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Luna | 58c | 70,000$40,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,100 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Luna | 58c | 17,321$10,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,274.99 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Luna | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Le | 41c | 6,224$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.95 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Le | 42c | 5,574$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Luna | 60c | 5,007$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Luna | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Luna | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Luna | 58c | 2,302$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Luna | 59c | 2,200$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Le | 42c | 2,095$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.92 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Le | 43c | 2,066$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.51 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Luna | 66c | 1,865$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.82 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Le | 44c | 1,600$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.41 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Le | 44c | 1,331$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.27 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Luna | 60c | 1,319$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.74 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Luna | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…7e73backed Le | 42c | 1,197$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Le | 39c | 1,196$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.38 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Luna | 59c | 900.01$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Le | 41c | 880.49$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Le | 39c | 858$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.62 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Le | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Luna | 59c | 795$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.95 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Luna | 58c | 757.38$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.1 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Le | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Luna | 57c | 666.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Luna | 58c | 650$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Le | 39c | 589.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Le | 39c | 550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Le | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Le | 44c | 499.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Le | 41c | 486$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Le | 40c | 485$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Luna | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…e3ebbacked Le | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Le | 25c | 328$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Le | 42c | 321.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Luna | 60c | 260$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Le | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Le | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 37cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62fc…0b71backed Luna | 60c | 243.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Le | 42c | 233.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Le | 44c | 229.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…1dbdbacked Luna | 60c | 222.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…ef29backed Luna | 59c | 210$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Le | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Le | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Luna | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +9.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Luna | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Le | 43c | 181.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Luna | 56c | 161.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…8f05backed Le | 42c | 154.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Luna | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Luna | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Luna | 59c | 141.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Luna | 58c | 122.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Le | 41c | 121.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Luna | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Luna | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Luna | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…cb5fbacked Le | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Luna | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Luna | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…05e0backed Luna | 60c | 66.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Luna | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed Le | 43c | 53.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Luna | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Luna | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…e6debacked Le | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Le | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Luna | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Luna | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Luna | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Le | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…8626backed Luna | 58c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…710ebacked Luna | 60c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Luna | 57c | 23.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…2759backed Luna | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Noche UFC: Luna vs. Lethis page
- Noche UFC: Aguilar vs. GuruleAguilar won
- Noche UFC: Costa vs. CoriaCoria won
- Noche UFC: Font vs. MartinezMartinez won
- Noche UFC: Garcia vs. GordonGarcia won
- Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. StoltzfusGastelum won
- Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. FerreiraHernandez won
- Noche UFC: Lopes vs. SilvaLopes won
- Noche UFC: Medina vs. TodorovićTodorović won
- Noche UFC: Puelles vs. SilvaSilva won
- Noche UFC: Rendon vs. PereiraRendon won
- Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. DonchenkoDonchenko won
- Noche UFC: Suarez vs. LemosSuarez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.