UFC · resolved market
Noche UFC: Font vs. Martinez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfc0408a44036d42922984da504d1aeeb1df57c98b32528828bb7695a9ffbc70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martinezof Font, Martinez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfaa…2813backed Font | 57c | 187,702$106,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,524.02 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Martinez | 43c | 92,000$39,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,440 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Martinez | 70c | 41,402$28,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,582.75 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Font | 12c | 32,188$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.74 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Martinez | 44c | 26,500$11,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,895 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Martinez | 43c | 25,000$10,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Font | 54c | 16,225$8,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,751.21 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Martinez | 43c | 16,000$6,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,119.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Martinez | 43c | 12,992$5,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,405.44 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Font | 57c | 10,529$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Martinez | 44c | 8,340$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,669.86 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Martinez | 43c | 7,995$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,522.18 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Martinez | 45c | 7,504$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.68 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Martinez | 43c | 7,000$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Martinez | 48c | 4,378$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.77 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Martinez | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Martinez | 44c | 2,744$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Font | 54c | 2,558$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.41 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Martinez | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Font | 49c | 2,500$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Martinez | 43c | 2,389$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.6 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Martinez | 44c | 2,140$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.46 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Martinez | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Martinez | 47c | 1,860$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.8 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Martinez | 44c | 1,841$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.92 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Martinez | 46c | 1,750$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Martinez | 47c | 1,582$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Martinez | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Font | 45c | 1,300$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.13 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Font | 54c | 1,236$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.52 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Font | 54c | 1,197$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.38 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Font | 56c | 1,136$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Font | 54c | 1,102$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.76 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Martinez | 48c | 1,100$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Martinez | 46c | 1,027$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.84 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Martinez | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Martinez | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Martinez | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Font | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Martinez | 44c | 1,000$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Font | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Font | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Font | 58c | 972.71$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.17 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Font | 52c | 930.39$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.28 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…7e73backed Font | 54c | 924.93$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Martinez | 47c | 884.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.55 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Martinez | 46c | 847.52$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.84 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Martinez | 49c | 812.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Martinez | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…e3ebbacked Martinez | 47c | 742.92$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Font | 51c | 666$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Font | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Martinez | 43c | 600$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.88 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…ef29backed Martinez | 44c | 544$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Font | 57c | 500$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Font | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Martinez | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Martinez | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Martinez | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 37cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Font | 59c | 499.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Font | 53c | 499.98$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Font | 54c | 383.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Font | 53c | 377.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Martinez | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Font | 55c | 350$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.87 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Martinez | 44c | 338.64$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed Font | 52c | 316$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Martinez | 47c | 309.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Font | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Font | 55c | 294.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Martinez | 44c | 256.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Font | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Martinez | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Font | 53c | 240.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…1bafbacked Martinez | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Font | 56c | 226.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Martinez | 44c | 224.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Martinez | 47c | 214.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Martinez | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…6d82backed Martinez | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Font | 52c | 202$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Martinez | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Font | 54c | 189.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +9.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Martinez | 44c | 185$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Font | 52c | 167.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Font | 52c | 162$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Martinez | 44c | 159.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Martinez | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Font | 52c | 117.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Font | 59c | 107.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…db3dbacked Martinez | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Martinez | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Font | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Martinez | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Font | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Font | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Martinez | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Font | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Martinez | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…cb5fbacked Martinez | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Noche UFC: Font vs. Martinezthis page
- Noche UFC: Aguilar vs. GuruleAguilar won
- Noche UFC: Costa vs. CoriaCoria won
- Noche UFC: Garcia vs. GordonGarcia won
- Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. StoltzfusGastelum won
- Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. FerreiraHernandez won
- Noche UFC: Lopes vs. SilvaLopes won
- Noche UFC: Luna vs. LeLuna won
- Noche UFC: Medina vs. TodorovićTodorović won
- Noche UFC: Puelles vs. SilvaSilva won
- Noche UFC: Rendon vs. PereiraRendon won
- Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. DonchenkoDonchenko won
- Noche UFC: Suarez vs. LemosSuarez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.