UFC · resolved market
Noche UFC: Garcia vs. Gordon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fd4650a34b8034fd9667bb34af1b210ae7031ed6427d9935193705b432194e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Garciaof Garcia, Gordon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $771,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $789,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $771,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfaa…2813backed Gordon | 62c | 653,619$402,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402,942.85 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Garcia | 38c | 274,675$105,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,118.59 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Garcia | 38c | 155,100$59,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,401.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Garcia | 38c | 150,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,000 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Garcia | 39c | 74,004$28,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,102.07 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Gordon | 61c | 29,990$18,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,293.9 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Garcia | 38c | 28,726$10,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,855.21 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Garcia | 55c | 21,097$11,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,542.69 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Gordon | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Garcia | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Garcia | 38c | 5,838$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Gordon | 64c | 4,000$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…7e73backed Gordon | 63c | 3,515$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Garcia | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Garcia | 38c | 2,944$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Garcia | 39c | 2,600$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Gordon | 61c | 2,600$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Gordon | 62c | 2,446$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.06 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Garcia | 37c | 2,028$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.8 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Gordon | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Garcia | 40c | 1,749$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.46 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Gordon | 15c | 1,515$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.54 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Gordon | 58c | 1,101$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.86 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Garcia | 35c | 1,074$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.14 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Gordon | 62c | 1,020$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Garcia | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.13 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Garcia | 38c | 1,000$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Garcia | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Gordon | 47c | 985.64$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.19 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Gordon | 67c | 979.61$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Gordon | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Gordon | 61c | 782.94$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gordon | 62c | 776.99$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.73 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Garcia | 34c | 639$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.74 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Garcia | 74c | 624.5$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.71 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Garcia | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Garcia | 32c | 595.35$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.78 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Gordon | 66c | 521.41$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.13 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…ef29backed Gordon | 62c | 516.13$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Garcia | 39c | 506.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.41 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Garcia | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Garcia | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Garcia | 51c | 474.08$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Garcia | 53c | 450$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Gordon | 65c | 439.8$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.16 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Garcia | 32c | 403.13$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Garcia | 38c | 402.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Gordon | 61c | 342.16$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.35 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Gordon | 66c | 327.74$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Gordon | 65c | 317$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Garcia | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +9.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Gordon | 70c | 286.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.56 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…1bafbacked Garcia | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed Gordon | 65c | 260$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Gordon | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Gordon | 66c | 249.25$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Gordon | 65c | 240$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Gordon | 62c | 224.24$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Garcia | 29c | 205.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ea…afc6backed Gordon | 61c | 202.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Garcia | 40c | 192.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Garcia | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Garcia | 39c | 179$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Gordon | 61c | 178.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…387abacked Gordon | 61c | 172.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 45cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Gordon | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…0d06backed Garcia | 39c | 161.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Gordon | 32c | 161$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Gordon | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Gordon | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Gordon | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Gordon | 61c | 150$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Gordon | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…6d82backed Gordon | 37c | 135.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…2fa2backed Garcia | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gordon | 42c | 133$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Gordon | 50c | 112.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Garcia | 34c | 111.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Gordon | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Gordon | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…05e0backed Garcia | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Garcia | 33c | 85.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…92c9backed Gordon | 62c | 80.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc485…948dbacked Gordon | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…cd5ebacked Gordon | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…4ad6backed Gordon | 62c | 72.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…e6debacked Garcia | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Gordon | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Garcia | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Garcia | 39c | 51.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Garcia | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Gordon | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…a211backed Gordon | 62c | 49.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Gordon | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Gordon | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…dd87backed Gordon | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…89dbbacked Garcia | 38c | 45.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Gordon | 62c | 44.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…472cbacked Gordon | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Gordon | 62c | 38.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Noche UFC: Garcia vs. Gordonthis page
- Noche UFC: Aguilar vs. GuruleAguilar won
- Noche UFC: Costa vs. CoriaCoria won
- Noche UFC: Font vs. MartinezMartinez won
- Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. StoltzfusGastelum won
- Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. FerreiraHernandez won
- Noche UFC: Lopes vs. SilvaLopes won
- Noche UFC: Luna vs. LeLuna won
- Noche UFC: Medina vs. TodorovićTodorović won
- Noche UFC: Puelles vs. SilvaSilva won
- Noche UFC: Rendon vs. PereiraRendon won
- Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. DonchenkoDonchenko won
- Noche UFC: Suarez vs. LemosSuarez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.