UFC · resolved market
Noche UFC: Puelles vs. Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7856aaa85d2e0eceea0a6c2de7c040fda1d6d689797f75aeaaa0f4773d41247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silvaof Puelles, Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $755,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $755,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfaa…2813backed Silva | 46c | 701,696$321,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380,530.13 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Puelles | 55c | 226,950$123,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,822.59 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Puelles | 54c | 225,000$121,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,500 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Puelles | 54c | 75,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,500 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Puelles | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Puelles | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Puelles | 54c | 22,400$12,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,096 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Puelles | 55c | 18,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Puelles | 54c | 15,111$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,159.94 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Puelles | 54c | 14,595$7,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,880.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Puelles | 54c | 13,027$7,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,034.49 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Puelles | 55c | 11,571$6,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,331.52 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Puelles | 54c | 11,250$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Silva | 59c | 7,496$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.04 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Puelles | 56c | 7,397$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.62 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Puelles | 54c | 4,277$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.61 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Puelles | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Puelles | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Silva | 48c | 2,247$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.99 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Puelles | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Silva | 40c | 1,700$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Silva | 39c | 1,623$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.15 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Puelles | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Silva | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Silva | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Silva | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Puelles | 55c | 1,418$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Silva | 47c | 1,354$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Silva | 44c | 1,340$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.27 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Puelles | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Puelles | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Puelles | 57c | 988.8$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.29 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Silva | 45c | 819$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.45 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Silva | 45c | 792.16$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.88 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Puelles | 52c | 770$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Puelles | 57c | 750$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.5 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Silva | 41c | 696.44$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 37cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Puelles | 74c | 689.55$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.84 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Silva | 45c | 645.43$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…d875backed Silva | 25c | 616.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Puelles | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Puelles | 51c | 571.43$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.43 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Silva | 45c | 552$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Puelles | 54c | 545$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Puelles | 55c | 528.73$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Puelles | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Puelles | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Silva | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Puelles | 62c | 480.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Silva | 45c | 477.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.56 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…7e73backed Silva | 45c | 466.13$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Puelles | 33c | 448.32$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Puelles | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…dee1backed Puelles | 55c | 403.02$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Puelles | 51c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Silva | 58c | 395.45$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Puelles | 56c | 375$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Silva | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Silva | 54c | 257.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Silva | 45c | 240$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Puelles | 42c | 237.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Puelles | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…ef29backed Silva | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Puelles | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…8f05backed Puelles | 58c | 207.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Silva | 28c | 200.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.25 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Silva | 31c | 200.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Puelles | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Silva | 45c | 182$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Puelles | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Puelles | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…2fa2backed Puelles | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Puelles | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Silva | 34c | 131.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Silva | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Puelles | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Puelles | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Silva | 36c | 99.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Silva | 37c | 99.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Puelles | 55c | 98.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Puelles | 36c | 92.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Silva | 35c | 86.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Silva | 38c | 81.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Puelles | 34c | 79.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Silva | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Silva | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Puelles | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Puelles | 55c | 57.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Puelles | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Puelles | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Silva | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Puelles | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…e6debacked Puelles | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Silva | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Silva | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…9f7abacked Silva | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Puelles | 46c | 35.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Silva | 45c | 32.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Puelles | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…8b71backed Silva | 46c | 24.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Noche UFC: Puelles vs. Silvathis page
- Noche UFC: Aguilar vs. GuruleAguilar won
- Noche UFC: Costa vs. CoriaCoria won
- Noche UFC: Font vs. MartinezMartinez won
- Noche UFC: Garcia vs. GordonGarcia won
- Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. StoltzfusGastelum won
- Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. FerreiraHernandez won
- Noche UFC: Lopes vs. SilvaLopes won
- Noche UFC: Luna vs. LeLuna won
- Noche UFC: Medina vs. TodorovićTodorović won
- Noche UFC: Rendon vs. PereiraRendon won
- Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. DonchenkoDonchenko won
- Noche UFC: Suarez vs. LemosSuarez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.