MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3b17d2bff6d4fccdda3ba9f18ce2823f1014fd3530374f40314680294aa550d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 77c | 29,179$22,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,655.25 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 19c | 17,737$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.31 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 24c | 11,075$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 14c | 8,483$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.92 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 74c | 7,119$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.75 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Giants | 26c | 5,106$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.02 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Marlins | 70c | 4,822$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.93 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 19c | 4,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Marlins | 65c | 3,085$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.98 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…ef4bbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,677$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked Giants | 62c | 1,674$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Giants | 62c | 1,602$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.24 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Giants | 61c | 1,434$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.66 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…a1a1backed Giants | 38c | 1,274$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Giants | 36c | 1,263$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Giants | 44c | 1,135$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 38c | 882.1$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.23 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 76c | 662.31$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.57 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Giants | 2c | 630$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 38c | 553.21$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.26 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Giants | 24c | 523.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants | 26c | 514$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Giants | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Giants | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Giants | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 55c | 495.24$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Giants | 41c | 488.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Giants | 25c | 484.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Marlins | 65c | 417.75$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…9397backed Marlins | 79c | 405.34$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Giants | 40c | 360.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Giants | 21c | 359.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 62c | 333.4$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.71 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 12c | 305.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Giants | 11c | 301.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 61c | 299.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Giants | 36c | 287.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 61c | 279.26$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Giants | 35c | 276.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 38c | 274.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Giants | 62c | 263.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants | 29c | 250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Marlins | 39c | 240$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Giants | 20c | 233.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Giants | 36c | 232$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 60c | 216.3$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Giants | 45c | 215.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Marlins | 78c | 199.94$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Giants | 62c | 188.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…5256backed Giants | 46c | 164.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Giants | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Marlins | 37c | 159.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Giants | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Giants | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Marlins | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Marlins | 73c | 136.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Giants | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Giants | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Giants | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Giants | 32c | 107.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Giants | 18c | 104.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Giants | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 37c | 99.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Giants | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…aae4backed Giants | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Giants | 63c | 79.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Marlins | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Giants | 63c | 73.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…2bbfbacked Marlins | 68c | 65.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Giants | 36c | 59.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Giants | 62c | 57.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Giants | 35c | 57.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Giants | 21c | 55.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Giants | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Giants | 26c | 50.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Marlins | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Giants | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Marlins | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 67c | 39.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf8da…e38bbacked Giants | 62c | 38.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…59bcbacked Marlins | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…7e79backed Marlins | 77c | 37.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Giants | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Giants | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 38c | 30.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Marlins | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Marlins | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Giants | 62c | 20.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Marlins | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.