TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Phillies vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philliesof Phillies, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,505,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,501,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,505,205 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 873 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies38c391,819$149,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242,289.011,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5681…e113backed Dodgers63c291,516$183,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183,655.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Phillies43c188,878$81,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,377.139146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Dodgers34c185,179$62,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,241.486653%35 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers37c118,792$44,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,463.353150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Phillies76c110,897$84,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,843.6415353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Dodgers62c52,200$32,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,3647753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers62c46,379$28,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,754.9438751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9707…e3bcbacked Dodgers66c40,000$26,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,299.972254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies37c36,466$13,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,973.5830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Phillies37c33,446$12,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,071.259462.8%59 W · 35 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Phillies37c30,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,9002356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Phillies38c28,498$10,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,668.517651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x759b…2ab3backed Phillies36c28,157$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,157.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Phillies63c21,494$13,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,052.4712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Dodgers55c20,431$11,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,325.12445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Phillies38c20,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,399.9917351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies37c20,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.8955053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da2…9af3backed Dodgers0c19,980$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers62c19,084$11,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,835.041,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Dodgers62c18,992$11,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,775.22955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers62c18,561$11,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,516.635854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers23c18,015$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.2317136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Dodgers30c16,293$4,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9424045%18 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Dodgers62c15,000$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,30013353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Dodgers1c13,248$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Phillies69c12,550$8,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,884.954965.3%32 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Phillies62c11,029$6,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.717341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers1c10,841$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.921,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Phillies69c10,379$7,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.778445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,20051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Phillies37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.911050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Phillies37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.83826.3%10 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-42.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Dodgers63c9,524$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00024154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Dodgers63c8,730$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5002536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Dodgers63c8,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0404632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies67c7,896$5,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.421,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a17…1846backed Phillies38c7,570$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,693.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Dodgers62c6,702$4,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,155.881,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Phillies37c6,672$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.1811551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cf…3bc7backed Phillies38c6,570$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,073.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Phillies31c5,556$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,848.122227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers50c5,436$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,739.011,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Dodgers1c5,120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.65053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Dodgers62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1007349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Dodgers63c4,759$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Dodgers63c4,751$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Phillies61c4,539$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.7420747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Phillies66c4,501$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.9714153.9%76 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers33c4,356$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42954941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Dodgers63c4,324$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.817548%36 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Dodgers63c4,008$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5257758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ff…252ebacked Dodgers62c4,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Dodgers60c3,661$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.044057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dodgers35c3,559$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.6144749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Dodgers63c3,492$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.912250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies57c3,384$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.4376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Dodgers68c3,363$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1362…1bb7backed Dodgers63c3,100$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ce…f74dbacked Dodgers22c3,025$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6522334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Phillies38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86019252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Phillies33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4122…b3b2backed Dodgers63c2,830$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33ae…6a1ebacked Dodgers63c2,815$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x105d…7bc2backed Dodgers63c2,735$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers62c2,674$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.592,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d2…d56dbacked Dodgers63c2,660$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a0…6feebacked Phillies38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Dodgers77c2,597$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb90…87b7backed Phillies39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb236…0ce5backed Dodgers62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed Dodgers62c2,419$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Dodgers9c2,250$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20316934.9%59 W · 110 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Dodgers28c2,188$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.424531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x30d1…fc97backed Dodgers24c2,112$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.931233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Phillies72c2,097$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.141,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0574…9be3backed Dodgers29c2,050$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Dodgers62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2403375.8%25 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8ca2…0fbebacked Phillies39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2206100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0f0…d08cbacked Dodgers62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Phillies38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2409756.7%55 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Phillies39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2205648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Dodgers62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2402339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Dodgers7c1,967$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.712450%12 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Dodgers23c1,940$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Dodgers62c1,934$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.9930151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Dodgers1c1,931$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.788762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Dodgers63c1,875$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.982737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa98d…fe62backed Phillies39c1,812$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ff…1e37backed Dodgers62c1,812$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Dodgers1c1,766$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers49c1,700$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.5392754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…b113backed Phillies39c1,670$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.721963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x053d…b168backed Dodgers62c1,670$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.312157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Dodgers30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e88…59c7backed Dodgers61c1,620$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers21c1,594$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.299,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Dodgers63c1,586$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.491060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x708a…1f12backed Dodgers63c1,553$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd941…bc46backed Phillies38c1,526$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.