MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdda3af3d1f43a32c30451a98d38b5c4ff3b4131d292dce8a84b2013a003da057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $514,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $564,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Marlins | 33c | 66,666$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,666.22 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Giants | 67c | 63,827$42,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,763.96 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 24c | 27,168$6,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,760.73 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Marlins | 67c | 20,644$13,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,776.09 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 38c | 19,800$7,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,338.69 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 33c | 19,142$6,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,825.33 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Giants | 3c | 14,865$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.45 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 48c | 12,160$5,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,308.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Giants | 67c | 10,006$6,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,704.06 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…8cf7backed Marlins | 33c | 9,997$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,697.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…7bd4backed Giants | 67c | 9,996$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,697.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Marlins | 53c | 9,277$4,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.44 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 27c | 7,406$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.41 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Marlins | 18c | 6,238$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.48 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Marlins | 43c | 5,661$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.48 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 67c | 4,943$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Giants | 20c | 4,517$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.43 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Marlins | 44c | 4,502$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.26 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Giants | 77c | 4,282$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.6 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Giants | 76c | 4,037$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.13 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Marlins | 52c | 3,072$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.89 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Giants | 67c | 3,001$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.5 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 46c | 2,235$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 33c | 2,106$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.38 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.94 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants | 66c | 1,949$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.52 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 33c | 1,824$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.85 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Marlins | 36c | 1,800$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.41 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Giants | 5c | 1,620$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Giants | 67c | 1,555$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.85 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Giants | 22c | 1,506$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.94 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Marlins | 27c | 1,415$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.23 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 23c | 1,403$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.08 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 51c | 1,214$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.1 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Giants | 46c | 1,193$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.15 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 61c | 1,184$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.81 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Giants | 63c | 1,177$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,092$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.22 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Giants | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Marlins | 20c | 997$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Giants | 51c | 980.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Marlins | 41c | 921.89$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.5 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Giants | 57c | 914.3$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.35 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Marlins | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 31c | 870$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.3 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Giants | 26c | 865$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Giants | 67c | 799.95$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Giants | 62c | 772.15$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.42 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 39c | 754$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.21 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Marlins | 76c | 689.19$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.77 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Giants | 39c | 682.69$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Marlins | 55c | 652.93$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 65c | 615.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Giants | 49c | 608.45$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.09 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Marlins | 34c | 595.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.68 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Giants | 68c | 555$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Giants | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Giants | 52c | 496.15$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Giants | 58c | 489.13$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.79 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 53c | 484.56$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.57 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Marlins | 65c | 483.58$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 38c | 433.26$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.26 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Giants | 67c | 400.97$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.65 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Giants | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Giants | 9c | 369.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Giants | 6c | 364.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Giants | 64c | 347.25$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.56 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Giants | 8c | 341.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Marlins | 54c | 301.92$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Marlins | 21c | 300.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.79 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 69c | 300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 33c | 299.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Giants | 66c | 298.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.69 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Marlins | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Marlins | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 32c | 274.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Marlins | 20c | 263.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Marlins | 36c | 260.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.87 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Marlins | 60c | 260.2$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins | 23c | 257$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Marlins | 39c | 256.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Marlins | 39c | 250.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.75 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9191backed Giants | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Marlins | 30c | 231.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Marlins | 54c | 214.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…cdf5backed Marlins | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf74…6f5cbacked Marlins | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Giants | 53c | 192.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 35c | 189.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 6c | 184.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…0727backed Giants | 63c | 178.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 50c | 168.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Marlins | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…c192backed Marlins | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Marlins | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…0897backed Marlins | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Marlins | 34c | 150.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Giants | 71c | 150$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Giants | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.