UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc932a714ecc846576bc9011afc42135000fbd7e4696a41cab6d56addb9564fbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaevof Brendson Ribeiro, Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 49,751$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,477.63 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 31,458$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.8 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 12,644$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.75 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 8,426$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.38 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 7,533$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.97 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Brendson Ribeiro | 8c | 6,528$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.21 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Brendson Ribeiro | 24c | 6,190$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.18 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 6,032$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.92 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 4,919$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 3,981$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.84 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…bdbbbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 2,143$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 1,892$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 1,892$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 1,845$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 1,477$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…74f8backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 1,468$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Brendson Ribeiro | 16c | 1,432$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.91 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 1,291$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 1,291$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev | 72c | 891$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.77 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 17c | 806.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 777.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 775.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Brendson Ribeiro | 15c | 765.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 757.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed Brendson Ribeiro | 16c | 658.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 15c | 648.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 610.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Brendson Ribeiro | 7c | 600.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 597.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 567.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Brendson Ribeiro | 19c | 560.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 511.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 476.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Brendson Ribeiro | 12c | 473.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b96…31d3backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 420.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 395.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Brendson Ribeiro | 18c | 394.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…e3f0backed Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 325.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 315.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…2071backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 283.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Brendson Ribeiro | 16c | 275.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7008…d2f5backed Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 258.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 232.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…237ebacked Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…01a0backed Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 204.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 201.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Brendson Ribeiro | 12c | 197.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…398cbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…4ce6backed Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…6980backed Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…a613backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 166.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…b4a9backed Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 164.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…a3ebbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 160.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…ad61backed Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 157.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…1fabbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 157.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 149.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 148.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 146.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…3b17backed Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 146$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…0ccebacked Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 109.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f3…bb5cbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 104.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…84c6backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 102.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 100.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…1523backed Brendson Ribeiro | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 98.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…957bbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 11c | 97.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev | 76c | 57.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brendson Ribeiro | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 132 | 21.2%28 W · 104 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev | 80c | 22.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd051…53e1backed Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev | 75c | 19.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.