TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Tigers, Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,691,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,766,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,691,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 852 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed Tigers52c489,795$254,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254,263.289462.8%59 W · 35 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners44c436,200$190,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245,824.941,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Mariners47c338,037$159,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178,159.63450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Mariners56c272,749$153,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,601.829146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Tigers57c223,124$127,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,180.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Mariners48c193,497$93,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,497.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Mariners51c180,000$92,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,457.1625453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Mariners44c170,341$74,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,390.967753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Mariners49c159,607$77,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,763.22951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Tigers56c140,011$78,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,005.8643949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Tigers48c134,957$65,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,169.612955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Tigers55c100,000$54,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,899.9453150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers54c100,000$54,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,399.8955053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Tigers52c95,491$49,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,655.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Tigers53c90,000$47,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,399.9960451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Tigers56c90,000$50,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,399.993246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Tigers52c79,270$41,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,220.41560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Tigers53c70,386$37,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,030.881747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Tigers10c63,180$6,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,581.221060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners44c60,000$26,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,60026355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Tigers44c54,907$24,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,392.6515353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers53c51,000$26,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,89045248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Tigers45c50,948$23,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,030.7630255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Tigers52c46,000$23,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,9206855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Tigers52c44,466$23,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,122.537651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers55c41,474$22,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,969.3751151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Tigers53c40,000$21,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,039.9271751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Tigers52c34,884$18,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,141.4963152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Tigers47c33,772$15,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,911.4330842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Mariners49c30,859$15,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,737.93531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Tigers54c30,428$16,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,518.4913353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe945…a5cbbacked Tigers57c27,200$15,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,504450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b1…0f83backed Tigers52c26,163$13,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,604.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Tigers52c26,072$13,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,557.2538047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc153…6c8bbacked Tigers55c25,455$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,000.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaefe…1e4abacked Tigers57c24,772$14,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,119.842462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Mariners45c24,724$11,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,509.493826.3%10 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-42.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mariners44c24,472$10,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,697.8311544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers55c24,000$13,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,12056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tigers35c23,713$8,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,393.71,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Tigers52c22,489$11,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,598.844445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Mariners46c21,739$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,739.132536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…366bbacked Tigers56c20,552$11,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,569.961931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Mariners50c20,100$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,100.1719540%78 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Tigers57c18,789$10,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,709.732445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tigers33c16,629$5,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,504.358,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Tigers56c16,071$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0002060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Tigers55c15,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2506660.6%40 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Tigers46c13,824$6,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,302.957341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Mariners44c13,000$5,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,27412939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mariners62c12,965$8,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,872.4146239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mariners70c12,733$8,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,819.9696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners55c12,713$6,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,781.931,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Mariners50c10,676$5,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,363.964045%18 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Tigers69c10,484$7,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,221.0214153.9%76 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa6…bfb1backed Mariners44c10,100$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Tigers56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,600771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Mariners44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.972227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Mariners51c9,746$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,746.3311743.6%51 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba48…6d5fbacked Tigers54c9,638$5,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,204.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd6…5ebabacked Tigers57c9,600$5,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,47210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Tigers60c9,421$5,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,617.9123752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Tigers49c8,998$4,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,394.8720747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Tigers52c8,964$4,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,661.177058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcff1…1e74backed Tigers57c8,900$5,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,07310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers51c8,800$4,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,487.931,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Tigers52c8,615$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.955251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f16…7ee1backed Mariners44c8,500$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29da…1ff7backed Tigers57c8,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,56010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Mariners48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Mariners63c7,579$4,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.822356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Tigers61c7,277$4,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,423.964965.3%32 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers47c7,219$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.2295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Mariners49c7,207$3,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.9678445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Tigers52c7,066$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,687.951,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Mariners43c7,000$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.997548%36 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Mariners80c6,828$5,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.442365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners49c6,603$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,397.2836047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ff…1a3abacked Mariners49c6,474$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,301.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Mariners45c6,256$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.625945.8%27 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5826…b3cbbacked Tigers57c6,220$3,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,545.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d6…28bfbacked Mariners44c6,200$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Mariners41c6,108$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,607.9563052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Mariners44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3607349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…c9fabacked Mariners44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Tigers34c5,814$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009255.4%51 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbade…84b8backed Mariners44c5,800$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Tigers53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.5933554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Tigers50c5,474$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.056653%35 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd937…d226backed Mariners48c5,448$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd32…c9c1backed Tigers57c5,250$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.57842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Tigers49c5,250$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.0465549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…e606backed Mariners44c5,244$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3792…3f75backed Mariners44c5,200$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Mariners49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f20…0360backed Tigers57c5,100$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mariners41c5,080$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.4644749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Tigers52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6007139.4%28 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda1…6253backed Mariners44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.