TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Giants, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Giants41c97,557$39,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,590.3212043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mets59c51,410$30,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,339.486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets59c24,827$14,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,645.981,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Mets59c24,390$14,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,390.117156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aca…825ebacked Giants41c15,864$6,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,359.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Mets6c14,238$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84741747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Mets7c9,704$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.3754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets47c6,434$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.999,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,54048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets59c5,390$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.092,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Giants40c5,014$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.45947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Mets27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35011040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Mets60c3,752$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.25851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Mets60c1,817$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.324551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Giants41c1,814$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Mets60c1,463$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.825667.9%38 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Mets6c1,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Mets60c1,101$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.498149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets23c1,005$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.082,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Giants39c717.66$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7724248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Giants40c700$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Mets59c599.86$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9238249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mets21c580$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets2c565$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mets59c543.32$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.565,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2953,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Mets48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24034051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Mets61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30516651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Mets19c415.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.023839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets18c351.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.854,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Giants40c349.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9951347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants40c349.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Giants41c317$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.031,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Mets7c302.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Mets60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18024253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Giants40c299.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e0…d2fabacked Giants41c299.67$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.672450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Mets59c281.14$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5656451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Giants40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Giants80c219.66$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9645749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dd…df92backed Mets61c217.8$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.863548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Mets63c202.79$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5980680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xbe52…8d34backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a5…6751backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ad…afb5backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x649f…5b02backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5936…4c34backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205250%26 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec0…8ee3backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…9969backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205060%30 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe09…d95cbacked Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…ca51backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…cc30backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…af2cbacked Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205044%22 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79d7…a553backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dfb…18d9backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…d24cbacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf3…b281backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…1e7abacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee1…a478backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0900…ced0backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe96b…3394backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205062%31 W · 19 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x144b…199ebacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205433.3%18 W · 36 L-9.3wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa09e…0883backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fd…1753backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205255.8%29 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4582…70c6backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33d6…e499backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205149%25 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d0…9310backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205337.7%20 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e7f…8250backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0570…752cbacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd69…8706backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6248…32d7backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205050%25 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3157…d2f9backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd3…be9dbacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3896…5e61backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb913…f8f3backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205250%26 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1449…780fbacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205046%23 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2b…e2dbbacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb46…5b7ebacked Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b3a…b30ebacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7673…0047backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x791f…8d7dbacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x922e…c018backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e4…0890backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f2…26d5backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…c5b0backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e02…92b9backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205038%19 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c46…4ba5backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x508f…360fbacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec45…a36abacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd7…ee5cbacked Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99ce…ddffbacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f55…2adebacked Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205034%17 W · 33 L-7.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd730…a598backed Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…4d8ebacked Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dbd…bd87backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82af…f06ebacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205149%25 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb5…b495backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x60d5…e89ebacked Giants40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d57…9d49backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205131.4%16 W · 35 L-9.9wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf808…aa83backed Mets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205543.6%24 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.