MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb104db41113e63696e77483f34762ade016de183ef0f4b5b25adf94910edb95b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Cardinals, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,491,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,500,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,491,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,281,506$469,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469,957.55 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 63c | 732,645$463,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268,867.69 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 63c | 198,500$126,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,499.27 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 64c | 154,777$98,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,486.77 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 63c | 72,500$46,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,475 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 36c | 46,666$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.76 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Cardinals | 33c | 45,000$14,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,844.98 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Padres | 63c | 42,779$26,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,795.02 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 67c | 34,349$22,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,448.99 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Padres | 64c | 27,777$17,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.72 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Padres | 64c | 25,000$15,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,050 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,249.99 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 64c | 18,163$11,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,538.68 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 63c | 17,954$11,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,590.31 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 64c | 16,000$10,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 71c | 10,384$7,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.96 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 37c | 9,133$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.96 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 65c | 6,948$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.86 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 67c | 6,894$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.97 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 63c | 6,200$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 63c | 6,127$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Cardinals | 38c | 5,085$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.29 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 64c | 5,017$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.51 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cardinals | 35c | 4,721$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.77 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Padres | 65c | 4,504$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.56 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Padres | 62c | 3,478$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.64 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 65c | 3,333$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.55 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Padres | 64c | 3,008$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.88 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 7c | 2,938$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.62 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…7656backed Cardinals | 9c | 2,777$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 38c | 2,711$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.52 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Padres | 63c | 2,600$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 68c | 2,323$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.2 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 36c | 2,300$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 6c | 2,278$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Cardinals | 1c | 1,505$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Cardinals | 6c | 1,498$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…7958backed Padres | 64c | 1,273$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Padres | 62c | 1,150$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Padres | 62c | 1,119$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.34 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…85ecbacked Padres | 63c | 1,108$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,103$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.11 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.98 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Cardinals | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Cardinals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 61c | 994.52$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 63c | 954$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.98 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 36c | 764$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.04 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…1e74backed Cardinals | 37c | 755.32$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Cardinals | 7c | 719.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Padres | 67c | 641.82$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.82 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals | 2c | 629.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Cardinals | 37c | 606.77$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Padres | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cardinals | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 62c | 478.3$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.76 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cardinals | 33c | 456.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ecbacked Cardinals | 20c | 431.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Cardinals | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cardinals | 37c | 410.53$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Cardinals | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 38c | 395$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 36c | 372.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 37c | 349.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 38c | 342$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cardinals | 35c | 334.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Cardinals | 37c | 329$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Cardinals | 31c | 323.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Cardinals | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8134backed Cardinals | 4c | 277.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cardinals | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cardinals | 39c | 239$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 36c | 230$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 30c | 229.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Cardinals | 38c | 210.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 63c | 205.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Padres | 77c | 202.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Cardinals | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cardinals | 28c | 199.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Cardinals | 35c | 198.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 63c | 197$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cardinals | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Padres | 66c | 152.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…6f17backed Cardinals | 10c | 145.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Padres | 62c | 145.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.