TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa0b…4908backed Yes43c75,000$32,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,750933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No57c33,709$19,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,218.6810357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No57c20,408$11,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,632.8421154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No59c15,383$9,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,098.283050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked No60c11,465$6,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,860.922142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes62c5,181$3,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.926860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85022744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed No57c5,000$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,853.496357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…547dbacked No60c4,399$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No6c3,613$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7613727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No57c3,500$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8304153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No57c3,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.9814854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes40c2,892$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.499917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No59c2,795$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.5567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes40c2,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a1…693fbacked Yes41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4751758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes42c2,200$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.522634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No60c2,150$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.57139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c2,073$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.36,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes40c2,042$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.4922050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9811838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Yes41c1,700$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-59.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x644f…8bc9backed No60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes43c1,556$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.816939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8856149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8854766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Yes42c1,280$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+89.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No58c1,175$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.531944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No64c1,046$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.4434251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc202…2afdbacked Yes41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes43c934.88$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.8813552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes40c840.05$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.5690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No58c834.8$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.221250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c762.41$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.184,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…7c00backed Yes40c743.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes41c738.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.419235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes41c692.68$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.687732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed No60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Yes42c591.63$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No61c585.79$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.3356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No61c547.31$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes42c500.02$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6826444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2855054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1212037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No59c399$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4139561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No60c397.58$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Yes36c385.08$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.455451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8430050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes39c333$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1325339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes43c332.57$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5621153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes40c325$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed No59c317$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Yes70c308$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9411855.1%65 W · 53 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.122157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes44c272.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.733548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf4…181ebacked No59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.16741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6004…6ecabacked Yes46c215.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Yes39c212.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.821040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed No59c209.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.92343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11222932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1166051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd244…550bbacked Yes36c191.67$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes41c191.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes39c179.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.467035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No10c169.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed No60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-35%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No60c165$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9913342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Yes36c147$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.081631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x598c…cd47backed Yes42c141.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes30c130$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c5d…0774backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba72…143bbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.052147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.642937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes40c112.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.512545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bb…3345backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.14560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+110.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c104$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ff…1eb6backed No74c95.9$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.025450%27 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No58c93.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d9…b00bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d5…cf40backed No60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked No59c61.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec0…14babacked Yes41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b1e…cc93backed No58c59.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.531136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Yes42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.522733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No62c59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.585259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No31c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.328246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes43c50.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.191729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.515345.8%70 W · 83 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed No59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.627753.2%41 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6212252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.