Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd727c1b68a6497bfbcf821339654ab6ff7238b0bb53e16edcf9845d238762614
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 6,405$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.57 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 71c | 5,445$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.05 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 61c | 3,747$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.85 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8437…6427backed Yes | 0c | 3,445$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 46c | 2,692$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.77 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…b7eabacked Yes | 41c | 2,412$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 35c | 2,165$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.48 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 1,824$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 29c | 1,541$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 57c | 1,530$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.68 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 57c | 1,501$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.32 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 31c | 1,452$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 30c | 1,280$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 69c | 983.87$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 61c | 862.01$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.35 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 768$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.72 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 70c | 717.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…20a1backed Yes | 49c | 647.02$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 38c | 642.61$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 74c | 542.86$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 499.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…7c00backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 66c | 447.31$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 18c | 331.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 31c | 327.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 71c | 283$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Yes | 55c | 274.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed No | 71c | 253.17$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 30c | 222.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 29c | 171.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 70c | 164.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 29c | 144.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 143.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 115.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…0bb1backed Yes | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 69.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1541…e78dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 30c | 49.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…3775backed No | 45c | 41.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Yes | 30c | 38.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…27d4backed Yes | 52c | 35.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 31.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803c…53c9backed Yes | 74c | 22.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d33…1d5dbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-08-18?No won
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.