MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd673ad4dd675808be88c6a979533046bee24ce97fc01734ac6e18e3fb74e9e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Blue Jays, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $625,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $630,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 42c | 414,000$173,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240,784.88 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 58c | 172,883$100,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,271.94 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 58c | 66,309$38,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,459.06 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays | 59c | 41,837$24,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,765.46 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jays | 59c | 20,855$12,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,304.41 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 59c | 20,520$12,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,106.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 20,005$11,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,603.35 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 58c | 10,973$6,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,364.31 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 7,541$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Pirates | 54c | 7,459$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.74 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 38c | 7,108$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,374.14 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 36c | 6,711$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 40c | 5,555$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 5,555$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.45 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Blue Jays | 39c | 5,282$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.78 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 59c | 5,119$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 61c | 5,095$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.88 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Pirates | 41c | 5,033$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.46 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates | 53c | 4,140$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.31 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Blue Jays | 59c | 3,636$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.24 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Blue Jays | 61c | 3,395$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 60c | 3,335$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Pirates | 39c | 3,335$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.4 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 43c | 3,089$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.73 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Blue Jays | 40c | 2,994$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Pirates | 40c | 2,796$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.49 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Pirates | 40c | 2,485$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Blue Jays | 61c | 2,450$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.42 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 34c | 2,234$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.03 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 2,127$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.6 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 47c | 2,034$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.58 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Blue Jays | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Blue Jays | 36c | 1,958$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Pirates | 41c | 1,900$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 1,900$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Blue Jays | 40c | 1,864$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.36 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…58b6backed Pirates | 41c | 1,756$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays | 64c | 1,740$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.95 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…c3b4backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,685$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Pirates | 40c | 1,680$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.89 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Pirates | 39c | 1,627$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.45 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays | 42c | 1,555$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.43 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…a661backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,534$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…ff82backed Pirates | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…a23dbacked Pirates | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 1,440$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…ed49backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Blue Jays | 63c | 1,353$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,325$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.54 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 40c | 1,263$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.8 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Blue Jays | 45c | 1,238$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.44 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 1,221$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.62 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…263bbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…a38cbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,167$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 1,148$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.53 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c47…45b6backed Pirates | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,096$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.61 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 1,086$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.56 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…1f30backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,003$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Blue Jays | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…2170backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…a7e0backed Blue Jays | 60c | 997$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Blue Jays | 65c | 966.1$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.51 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Pirates | 63c | 926.03$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.03 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 39c | 899.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…c1a7backed Blue Jays | 59c | 871$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 40c | 838$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.8 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Pirates | 60c | 837.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…7892backed Pirates | 40c | 833$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Pirates | 40c | 832.67$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.6 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…0021backed Pirates | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…7ecdbacked Pirates | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Pirates | 38c | 783.16$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.8 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Pirates | 39c | 781.17$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.23 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Blue Jays | 41c | 779.7$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.71 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Blue Jays | 66c | 766.21$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Pirates | 66c | 755.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.75 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…9fc1backed Pirates | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…0d72backed Pirates | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…91b7backed Blue Jays | 59c | 729$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 42c | 713.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Pirates | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 680.69$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.22 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 644.97$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.98 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 634.99$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Blue Jays | 51c | 600$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Blue Jays | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 580.02$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.99 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Pirates | 42c | 566.26$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.43 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 40c | 560$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays | 57c | 555.87$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Blue Jays | 56c | 533.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Blue Jays | 59c | 512.37$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.3 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4356…181dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Pirates | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Blue Jays | 57c | 498.65$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.76 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.