MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25eeb2e0a978815a61e8eb4facd25b485971929cd030173baa640a27fdae9da1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 572 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 57c | 9,066$5,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,167.4 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 9,014$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.42 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Cardinals | 43c | 5,005$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 56c | 4,819$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.88 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 57c | 4,669$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.57 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 44c | 3,998$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.8 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Marlins | 57c | 3,844$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 55c | 3,028$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.76 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cardinals | 52c | 2,562$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.18 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 47c | 2,188$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.56 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…35a4backed Cardinals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4f…4cd8backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…6f9dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,880$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…2c03backed Marlins | 55c | 1,618$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Marlins | 55c | 1,574$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.77 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 57c | 1,407$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.3 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa702…b3bbbacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…db80backed Marlins | 55c | 1,309$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 42c | 1,292$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.41 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,291$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.67 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…98dabacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…fb40backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x931e…8547backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 30c | 1,173$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,120$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ae…a071backed Marlins | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…5c9bbacked Marlins | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf637…d92ebacked Marlins | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…8b66backed Marlins | 55c | 1,090$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93d…36cabacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,089$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…7892backed Marlins | 55c | 1,060$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…c525backed Marlins | 55c | 1,055$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…f910backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Marlins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…ac3dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cardinals | 43c | 992.9$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.09 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2ceebacked Cardinals | 45c | 978$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…669abacked Cardinals | 45c | 978$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…6cf8backed Marlins | 55c | 964$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…7ee7backed Marlins | 55c | 953$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…b373backed Cardinals | 45c | 950$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…a60bbacked Marlins | 55c | 945$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…0b33backed Marlins | 55c | 936$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…7e7fbacked Marlins | 55c | 927$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cardinals | 19c | 910$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.1 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…ea97backed Marlins | 55c | 909$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…b085backed Marlins | 55c | 865$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 43c | 839$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.23 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…26f9backed Marlins | 55c | 727$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 52c | 700.67$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 44c | 681$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals | 57c | 658.29$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.06 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 41c | 649$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.98 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Cardinals | 53c | 648.15$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.14 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…9545backed Marlins | 55c | 606$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 43c | 561$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.77 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 36c | 559.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cardinals | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…3587backed Cardinals | 45c | 529$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Marlins | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals | 44c | 505.54$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.31 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Marlins | 55c | 487.68$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.22 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3104…bd68backed Marlins | 57c | 472.61$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…2bbebacked Cardinals | 44c | 471.8$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 43c | 465.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.1 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 38c | 457.41$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.66 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 43c | 453.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.33 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Marlins | 55c | 401.24$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Marlins | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Marlins | 57c | 349.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 44c | 349.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Cardinals | 35c | 311.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.43 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Cardinals | 43c | 297.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Marlins | 57c | 285.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Cardinals | 79c | 269.21$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Cardinals | 64c | 265.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Marlins | 56c | 250.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 55c | 213.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 57c | 202.48$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Marlins | 6c | 202$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Marlins | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Marlins | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Marlins | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Marlins | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Marlins | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.