Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba7cd0f8ed63078157cabcf78a45446f0611ce7a55721db53e6da46e086a3996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,080,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,070,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,080,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 37c | 583,542$213,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213,887.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 67c | 539,705$360,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,686.66 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 33c | 455,814$151,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,873.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 67c | 391,527$261,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,563.46 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 33c | 248,505$82,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,267.67 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes | 68c | 191,018$130,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,256.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 34c | 54,672$18,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,786.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 33c | 52,442$17,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,305.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 32c | 52,075$16,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,923.37 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 35c | 49,195$17,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,218.22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 31c | 45,750$14,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,178.23 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 33c | 38,793$12,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,675.86 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 67c | 28,911$19,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,540.79 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 34c | 21,480$7,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,303.09 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 33c | 20,273$6,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,693.24 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 31c | 17,747$5,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.57 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 35c | 15,369$5,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310.66 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 35c | 14,452$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 34c | 14,000$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.76 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 65c | 12,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 34c | 11,725$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.13 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 69c | 11,720$8,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.64 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 10,169$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.85 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 65c | 10,100$6,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Yes | 66c | 10,000$6,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 68c | 9,134$6,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…2f7ebacked No | 34c | 8,569$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 32c | 7,679$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.2 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 69c | 7,511$5,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.29 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 31c | 5,503$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.14 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 31c | 4,926$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.02 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 34c | 4,206$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.04 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 35c | 4,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed No | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 65c | 3,375$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.31 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 66c | 2,978$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 42c | 2,369$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 4c | 2,369$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2b…411bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,367$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed No | 34c | 2,356$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 34c | 2,235$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 58c | 2,213$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.35 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 66c | 2,172$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.55 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 34c | 2,121$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.75 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 35c | 2,121$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.13 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 70c | 2,028$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.94 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Yes | 66c | 1,960$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 33c | 1,784$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.64 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Yes | 66c | 1,733$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 35c | 1,700$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8752backed Yes | 66c | 1,621$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…d3b3backed No | 36c | 1,618$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 35c | 1,550$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 67c | 1,490$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 69c | 1,450$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 34c | 1,328$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.14 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 63c | 1,292$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.89 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 32c | 1,272$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.51 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 67c | 1,162$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.09 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 43c | 1,136$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.25 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…7818backed Yes | 65c | 1,108$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…05f0backed No | 36c | 1,098$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 33c | 1,085$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.05 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed Yes | 69c | 1,041$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 32c | 970.51$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.66 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 66c | 966.02$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.45 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…d0abbacked Yes | 65c | 958.46$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 32c | 933.02$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.15 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed No | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 66c | 757$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 65c | 750.21$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.78 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 66c | 728.18$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 35c | 724.09$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.09 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 36c | 703.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 66c | 682.65$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 66c | 682.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 30c | 612.54$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…4e0bbacked No | 35c | 519.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 75c | 462.16$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…1b98backed Yes | 69c | 462$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 54c | 452.32$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 66c | 449.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…0898backed No | 32c | 421.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 66c | 398.94$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed Yes | 66c | 397.83$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Yes | 64c | 397.47$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…bee1backed Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.