Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x739323baf61bec4e179617c127c2508d3da6928f111eb3108fc193b14cee8ae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 13c | 15,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 14c | 7,786$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.08 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 12c | 5,746$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.57 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 10c | 5,185$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.9 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 20c | 3,300$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 3,050$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 15c | 2,630$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 2c | 1,684$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 1,600$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 80c | 1,343$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.62 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 14c | 1,175$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Yes | 14c | 755.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…c40fbacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 14c | 499.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 14c | 479$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…1fc5backed Yes | 15c | 350.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…ff6fbacked Yes | 15c | 286.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Yes | 15c | 214.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 14c | 117.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 16c | 102.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-08-16?this page
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?Yes won
- Will Wolves vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.