TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$660,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$661,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed Rangers46c125,998$58,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,658.7535854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers47c98,533$46,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,309.838043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Royals53c92,653$49,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,106.2744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers46c88,026$40,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,573.3560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9707…e3bcbacked Royals54c86,149$46,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,520.412254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers46c65,261$30,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,071.4656451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Royals53c42,265$22,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,400.6722852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Royals53c34,607$18,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,341.5510041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Royals53c28,088$14,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,946.6620850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Royals54c26,221$14,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,159.3435952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Royals53c22,000$11,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,66055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,60041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers47c15,247$7,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,044.4838751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398d…c7c3backed Royals53c11,076$5,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,870.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Royals53c9,831$5,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,210.566845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Royals55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rangers45c7,524$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.2448254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Royals53c7,421$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.71,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Royals53c5,763$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.3923455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Royals53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb63d…9dd6backed Rangers44c4,668$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.962665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+46.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Royals51c4,340$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.7154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed Royals56c3,941$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.963135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Royals53c3,392$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.5726949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Rangers47c3,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Royals58c2,997$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.5221747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd652…fa8fbacked Rangers50c2,900$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Royals75c2,836$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.5796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6e…d15bbacked Royals50c2,700$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdec…a6bcbacked Royals50c2,600$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rangers47c2,600$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37826453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa17b…d7a7backed Rangers50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Royals62c2,162$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.381,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Royals53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Rangers44c1,818$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.1828258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Royals56c1,795$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.031850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers46c1,754$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.0763152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb63…3ba1backed Rangers50c1,390$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Rangers47c1,376$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.7133845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals54c1,335$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.272,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Rangers45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3363052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Royals66c1,299$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.62,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals53c1,280$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.991,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…0c2cbacked Rangers50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+71.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9741…7956backed Royals49c1,163$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Rangers36c1,120$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.0430842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76cc…5e4ebacked Rangers44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Royals55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55015942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Royals53c961.41$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.5540152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers46c900.11$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4783248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Royals74c900$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66613359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf534…bdf0backed Rangers50c856$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0680955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505e…7ddabacked Royals50c792$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers45c732.54$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.591,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7404…c062backed Royals50c672$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e08…7193backed Royals50c672$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Royals64c669$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.1679740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf455…195bbacked Royals54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Royals50c600.17$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.521,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Royals57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8342452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab0c…361cbacked Royals50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb746…08afbacked Royals50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5012…b744backed Royals50c598$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Royals51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30057744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a49…b41bbacked Rangers51c588$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.127100%7 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf164…22c9backed Rangers51c575$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rangers43c566.89$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.1353150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals55c534.09$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.751,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Royals52c510.56$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4919742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Royals53c500.12$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2922142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rangers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rangers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c45…0b91backed Rangers50c488$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rangers47c476.43$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.5138949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers45c475.29$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.4151347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Royals53c452.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.089947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Rangers27c443.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.822312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rangers46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7811051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa93…afc1backed Royals53c434$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1166…efdbbacked Rangers47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf35…2bbebacked Royals54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers49c399.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Rangers47c363.12$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1221853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.51,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Royals73c350$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25747745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Royals56c347$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.326258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3c…2807backed Rangers45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.331957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers36c322.88$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.989,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Rangers44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16832651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Royals56c286.38$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8170946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391e…5b83backed Royals56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Royals45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Rangers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3934550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Royals13c213$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.698762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Rangers31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11066751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Royals53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.